If you can read this, either the style sheet didn't load or you have an older browser that doesn't support style sheets. Try clearing your browser cache and refreshing the page.

(ESPN) Stupid ESPN's Week 10 QBR Leaderboard. Two completions is good enough for 6th, ahead of Matt Ryan, Matt Hasselbeck, Ben Roethlisberger, and Alex Smith   (espn.go.com) divider line 199
More: Stupid, Ben Roethlisberger, Matt Hasselbeck, QBR, Blaine Gabbert, Matt Schaub, Joe Flacco, Philip Rivers, Curtis Painter  
•       •       •

2704 clicks; posted to Sports » on 14 Nov 2011 at 9:24 AM   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»   |    Get this fabulous T-Shirt and impress the methane out of your friends! shirt it!



199 Comments   (+0 »)
   

First | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | » | Last | Show all
 
2011-11-14 09:27:49 AM
Dumb subjective stat is dumb and subjective.
 
2011-11-14 09:29:42 AM
3-1.
 
2011-11-14 09:33:28 AM
It's nice how they don't have the equation available, so you're just left with a set of numbers that you can't prove mean anything, because they don't visibly add to the end rating.
 
2011-11-14 09:33:40 AM
Well, Tebow won his game, as opposed to Matt Ryan.

i2.photobucket.com

Maybe Tebow is some sort of messiah. I mean, winning an NFL game on two completions for the whole game is kind of analogous to feeding the masses with a few loaves of bread and one basket of fish. I don't know if it's a miracle, but it defies all logic.
 
2011-11-14 09:34:23 AM
You'd think their thing would take into account things like "The team they were playing is awful or quarterbacked by Carson Palmer". But no, congrats on decimating KC and Miami.
 
2011-11-14 09:36:21 AM
GAT_00: It's nice how they don't have the equation available, so you're just left with a set of numbers that you can't prove mean anything, because they don't visibly add to the end rating.

The code probably reads, in part:

if ($qb == 'Tebow')
{
$qbr = OMGTIMTEBOW($qbr);
}
 
2011-11-14 09:36:55 AM
GimpyNip: Anyway, who cares about Tebow's stats? He completes 25% of his passes but 50% of those are TDs. He ran for a TD as well. He also did what 16 other QBs failed to do. WIN.

Remember a couple of years ago when Miami stunned New England, partially due to their using the Wildcat? Remember later when the same strategy no longer worked as effectively? Right now Tebow's record is a reflection of not being something that teams had seen before. It's not a long-term solution, and unless he changes Tebow will not be a starting QB for a long career.
 
2011-11-14 09:39:36 AM
When does Denver start running the Wing-T?
 
2011-11-14 09:39:38 AM
An Open letter-

Dear ESPN:

Here's how you know if your statistical formula sucks: if a guy completes 2 out of his 8 passes, and he is rated 6th, there's something seriously wrong.

Signed,
hp6sa
 
2011-11-14 09:39:51 AM
He's SUPER Clutch. He's carries clutches in his clutches, so he can clutch while he clutches.

Tebow just wins games, every game. Broncos may lose, but Tebow always wins.
 
2011-11-14 09:40:56 AM
Why would I be getting my stats from the MTV of sports?
 
2011-11-14 09:41:11 AM
Krustofsky: When does Denver start running the Wing-T?

Yesterday
 
2011-11-14 09:43:24 AM
hp6sa: An Open letter-

Dear ESPN:

Here's how you know if your statistical formula sucks: if a guy completes 2 out of his 8 passes, and he is rated 6th, there's something seriously wrong.

Signed,
hp6sa


Less that than if you took 2 QBs who had 300 yard games and 4TDs each. If QB 1 throws for 250 and 4TDs in the first quarter and his team runs the ball the rest of the game, he'll be ranked far below QB 2 if that guy throws a consistent 75 per quarter but 3 throws go for TDs in the 4th in a come from behind win.

QB1 is considered less "clutch"
 
2011-11-14 09:43:32 AM
GimpyNip: He also did what 16 other QBs failed to do. WIN.

Maybe its some sort of statistical fluke, but I've noticed that half of the starting QBs in the league, regardless of who it is, do the exact same thing. Oddly enough, the same can be said for the same team's starting Centers as well.
 
2011-11-14 09:43:38 AM
I love how all the football experts here on fark who hate Tebow always speak in such absolutes. CAN'T, WON'T, WILL NOT, NEVER...

3-1 as a starter this season. 1 INT this season. but 7 TDs, and two more on the ground. The Tebow led Broncos need one more win all season to match the Kyle Orton led Broncos for the past two.
 
2011-11-14 09:44:01 AM
hp6sa: An Open letter-

Dear ESPN:

Here's how you know if your statistical formula sucks: if a guy completes 2 out of his 8 passes, and he is rated 6th, there's something seriously wrong.

Signed,
hp6sa


That's why they call it QB rating and not passer rating. He also ran for 43 yards and a TD.

Oh and btw his "NFL Rating" (as ESPN calls it) is 102.6
 
2011-11-14 09:44:55 AM
are they grading on potential?
 
2011-11-14 09:45:54 AM
iron_city_ap: GimpyNip: He also did what 16 other QBs failed to do. WIN.

Maybe its some sort of statistical fluke, but I've noticed that half of the starting QBs in the league, regardless of who it is, do the exact same thing. Oddly enough, the same can be said for the same team's starting Centers as well.


operatorchan.org
 
2011-11-14 09:47:11 AM
This rating is circling the bowl faster than a half chewed ear of sweet corn.
 
2011-11-14 09:49:24 AM
GimpyNip: bel4sucks: I love how all the football experts here on fark who hate Tebow always speak in such absolutes. CAN'T, WON'T, WILL NOT, NEVER...

3-1 as a starter this season. 1 INT this season. but 7 TDs, and two more on the ground. The Tebow led Broncos need one more win all season to match the Kyle Orton led Broncos for the past two.

Here's the biggest thing about Tebow. He doesn't turn the ball over. That is the number 1 thing a QB in a ball control offense has to be able to do. Protect the football.

Of course, I hope the Jets destroy him on Thursday


It's hard to have the ball picked off when it's only thrown a half-dozen times.
 
2011-11-14 09:54:46 AM
Arkanaut: Oh and btw his "NFL Rating" (as ESPN calls it) is 102.6

Came here to point this out. According to the traditional passer rating, he's still in 6th for the week and still ahead of Matt Ryan, Matt Hasselbeck, Ben Roethlisberger, and Alex Smith.
 
2011-11-14 09:56:42 AM
Sorry, he's in 7th.
 
2011-11-14 09:57:04 AM
Is this where someone who cares about actual intelligent analysis says you should visit FO (new window) instead? (Of course, their stats wait until tomorrow to go up.)
 
2011-11-14 09:58:17 AM
Well, 7th counting Ray Rice's one pass for a TD.
 
2011-11-14 09:59:42 AM
GimpyNip: Anyway, who cares about Tebow's stats? He completes 25% of his passes but 50% of those are TDs. He ran for a TD as well. He also did what 16 other QBs failed to do. WIN.

Wow. I had no idea that the Broncos had ordered the other 45 members of the team to leave the stadium, along with their coaches, so that Tim Tebow could win the game all by himself. That is impressive.

I mean, if the Broncos had won a game where their stable of RBs had run the ball 46 times for 201 yards, that would suggest a game where Tebow's 2 completions had only a small difference in the outcome. Good thing that never happened. It might diminish the hype around Tebow.

(Tim Masthay does what every other punter fails to do: WIN every week this season.)
 
2011-11-14 10:02:58 AM
chimp_ninja: (Tim Masthay does what every other punter fails to do: WIN every week this season.)

Tim Mathsay is awesome, we at UK knew it would be a matter of time before he got picked up. The one we got now will be punting on Sundays too. I guess it's because we suck so bad that they get to punt more than anyone in the nation.
 
2011-11-14 10:04:18 AM
I have an awesome pancake recipe. Best ever actually.
1 egg
2tbs veg oil
1 cup buttermilk
1/2 oatmeal (any)
1/2 cup flour
1 tbls sugar
1 tsp. baking powder
1/2 tsp baking soda
1/2 tsp salt
 
2011-11-14 10:06:36 AM
GimpyNip: Sure, but they're 3-1 and running a ball control offense. If they lost and only threw it 8 times, well, that's a problem. But, they won and there was never any need to throw. Doesn't make Tebow a great QB. It just means he is the QB that gives the Broncos the best chance to win.

You could replace Tebow with nearly anyone. They're running an offense where the QB is inconsequential.

Insider tip: They don't throw the ball.
 
2011-11-14 10:07:42 AM
GimpyNip: chimp_ninja: I mean, if the Broncos had won a game where their stable of RBs had run the ball 46 times for 201 yards, that would suggest a game where Tebow's 2 completions had only a small difference in the outcome. Good thing that never happened. It might diminish the hype around Tebow.

considering that the Broncos won 17 to 10 I'd say putting 14 points on the board would have something to do with your team winning.


Yeah it was pretty awesome when he started blocking for himself and catching his own passes.
 
2011-11-14 10:11:35 AM
Go Fast Turn Left: It's hard to have the ball picked off when it's only thrown a half-dozen times

And whose fault is that? Tebow isn't calling the plays, Fox is. Plus an INT isn't the only way to turn the ball over right?

The worst part of this whole mess is Elway down on the field at the end of the game scowling. Hey dickhead the team you help run just beat a division rival in their house. They've won 2 straight and are 3-1 since a QB change was made. But your biatch ass can't even manage a smile.
 
2011-11-14 10:13:15 AM
Any rating system is pretty much horrible when it adds "clutch rating" as a key factor, and especially the way ESPN coded it.

1. QBs who lead their teams to blowout wins get penalized for doing well, while QBs who play middling games which keep their team close get rewarded.

2. Following on from that: if your QB has led your team to a large first-half lead, you'll probably run the ball a lot more in the second half to run out the clock. Since QBR rates 4th quarter performance as more important than performance at any other time, your successful quarterback gets penalized again for not needing to throw as much late in the game.

3. Just about every statistical analysis on "clutch performance" in any sport has determined that there is no such thing as a "clutch player." Players who do well in the clutch do well in general, and players who do badly in the clutch do badly in general. It's correlation, not causation.
 
2011-11-14 10:14:45 AM
dave1y: I have an awesome pancake recipe. Best ever actually.
1 egg
2tbs veg oil
1 cup buttermilk
1/2 oatmeal (any)
1/2 cup flour
1 tbls sugar
1 tsp. baking powder
1/2 tsp baking soda
1/2 tsp salt


Cook each side for 5 minutes under the warming glow of Tebow's smile.
 
2011-11-14 10:15:32 AM
Their offense would be better if they simply put a second true runningback on the field and did direct snaps to either of them. Most RBs can throw the ball at least as well as Tebow can.
 
2011-11-14 10:15:54 AM
Meanwhile, Broncos' fans are clamoring for a contract extension for Tebow, and Skip Bayless says he knows Elway is scared of Tebow and thus won't allow Tebow to complete passes.
 
2011-11-14 10:16:34 AM
So teams start to put nine guys in the box. Like your mom in that movie.
 
2011-11-14 10:19:23 AM
bel4sucks: Plus an INT isn't the only way to turn the ball over right?

blackathlete.net
 
2011-11-14 10:19:43 AM
bel4sucks: The worst part of this whole mess is Elway down on the field at the end of the game scowling. Hey dickhead the team you help run just beat a division rival in their house. They've won 2 straight and are 3-1 since a QB change was made. But your biatch ass can't even manage a smile.

I haven't really been following the Denver situation too closely, so correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't Elway pretty much publicly say that Tebow wasn't really his type of QB or something like that? If so, I imagine that might have something to do with it.

/I get the impression that John Elway's type of QB is John Elway and no one else, but again I could be completely off the mark on that one. *shrugs*
 
2011-11-14 10:20:50 AM
GimpyNip: He was 8th in Fantasy Points.

Insider tip: It's called "Fantasy Football", not "Reality Football". A guy who comes into the game to make two successful first-down goal-line dives from the 1 is worth more "Fantasy Points" than 90% of the league.

You might notice that Denver's offensive line tied for 1st/32nd place with 0 fantasy points. Those slackers. I guess you could replace them with anyone.

GimpyNip: Smith & Hasselbeck didn't have impressive stats lines 242 yds 1 td 1 int. That doesn't compute well to ratings or fantasy points. Tebow had 2 TDs and no turnovers. Those are worth more than yards in every stat systems be it QBR, QB Rating, Fantasy Points, etc

Football Outsiders ranks him as the 37th-best quarterback (min. 68 passes) this season, worth 161 yards worse than replacement-level quarterbacks. He's ranked just worse than Curtis Painter, even if you include both QBs' running contributions. He's 45th if you include guys who only threw 10+ passes.

I think you mean that he ranks well on incredibly stupid systems that rate 2-for-3 for 20 yards just as valuable a performance as 24-for-36 for 240 yards.

GimpyNip: chimp_ninja: I mean, if the Broncos had won a game where their stable of RBs had run the ball 46 times for 201 yards, that would suggest a game where Tebow's 2 completions had only a small difference in the outcome. Good thing that never happened. It might diminish the hype around Tebow.

considering that the Broncos won 17 to 10 I'd say putting 14 points on the board would have something to do with your team winning.


Yeah. I mean, it was awesome that Tebow ran for 7 yards despite zero blocking, after fielding the kick return himself, and marching the ball down to the 7 yard line via a series of highly illegal plays where he snapped the ball to himself, handed it to himself, and dragged all 11 defenders with him while running straight ahead.

He threw one good pass, 1 short completion, and 6 incompletions. Whee.
 
2011-11-14 10:22:12 AM
digistil: Skip Bayless says he knows Elway is scared of Tebow and thus won't allow Tebow to complete passes.


i just can't wrap my head around a team throwing 8 passes the entire game. can we get the Elias Sports Bureau to rank that all time?

i mean, i'm sure there was some game back in 1932 or wha tthe fark that had "only" 4 passes thrown, but....in 2011, as pro-passing as the rules are on defenseless receivers, hitting hte QB's helmet and so on......you threw 8 passes?

and ESPN is trolling. just like power rankings. if we're talking about it, they win. the old adage about "there's no such thing as bad publicity".
 
2011-11-14 10:23:46 AM
Incontinent_dog_and_monkey_rodeo: So teams start to put nine guys in the box

If I am the Jets, I force Denver to pass. Reivis on Decker single coverage, Cromartie single-coverage on Thomas or Royal, a cover LB on Fells. Then play the run. If Fells run-blocks, the LB is the ninth in the box. Heck, let Decker and Royal run free down the field. Half the time Tebow will miss them. Force Denver to throw. And Denver has a short week to get Moreno and McGahee healthy. What do they do if their starting RB is Lance Ball? Yikes.
 
2011-11-14 10:29:04 AM
Who's trolling harder: ESPN or GimpyNip? You make the call!
 
2011-11-14 10:30:03 AM
GimpyNip: Football Outsiders & Aaron Schatz are not legit sources. Sorry. This isn't baseball.


the irony of you, the guy that earnestly argues how Dungeons and Dragons Football points translate to a QBs on the field effectiveness, saying FO and Schatz are not legit sources....ha.

and i know this is a canned post but i loved the Arizona Super Bowl run, when every week Schatz would beon Simmons' podcast, and he'd be like, "welp, arizona's VORP was X, Atlanta's GLERP in road dome games was Z, there's no way Arizona will beat Atlanta".....and then the next day, "bill, there's no statistical explanation for what ARizona did. But at Carolina, Carolin'as GLOMP at home was N, Arizona's road VERP in the East Coast time zone was S......there's no way Arizona can win...."

"welp, Philly's road VORP was Z, Arizona's home VERP is N....there's no way Philly loses...."

god i loved that.
 
2011-11-14 10:31:10 AM
chimp_ninja: You could replace Tebow with nearly anyone. They're running an offense where the QB is inconsequential.

how many first downs or touchdowns did Tebow run for in that game? Outside of Cam Newton and Vick, what other QBs are running threats and you still have to respect the throw? (Big Ben doesn't run to gain yardage, he runs to buy his receivers time to throw.)
 
2011-11-14 10:31:25 AM
GimpyNip: chimp_ninja: Football Outsiders ranks him as the 37th-best quarterback (min. 68 passes) this season, worth 161 yards worse than replacement-level quarterbacks. He's ranked just worse than Curtis Painter, even if you include both QBs' running contributions. He's 45th if you include guys who only threw 10+ passes.

Football Outsiders & Aaron Schatz are not legit sources. Sorry. This isn't baseball. Also, I don't get why you're attacking fantasy points. It's no less ridiculous than QBR and QB Rating.


Wait, so ESPN's QB Rating is a "legit source", but Aaron Schatz, an ESPN employee is not "a legit source"?

Please, explain the logic. This should be good. Please explain why Tim Tebow is the 6th-best QB in football right now.
 
2011-11-14 10:32:06 AM
GimpyNip: chimp_ninja: Football Outsiders ranks him as the 37th-best quarterback (min. 68 passes) this season, worth 161 yards worse than replacement-level quarterbacks. He's ranked just worse than Curtis Painter, even if you include both QBs' running contributions. He's 45th if you include guys who only threw 10+ passes.

Football Outsiders & Aaron Schatz are not legit sources. Sorry. This isn't baseball. Also, I don't get why you're attacking fantasy points. It's no less ridiculous than QBR and QB Rating.


This. Who cares about yards above replacement? Wins above replacement is so much more valuable. And right now, the scoreboard says Orton: 1-4, Tebow 2-1. Add in last season and it's Orton at 4-12 and Tebow at 3-3. Plus in 3 games Tebow has thrown just 3 fewer TDs than Orton did in 5 this year (8 to 6) while throwing 6 fewer INTs (7 to 1).

I'd rather win ugly and in a non-traditional fashion than lose ugly in an "acceptable" way.
 
2011-11-14 10:34:27 AM
Sorry, the above post should say Orton at 4-14 and Tebow at 3-3 for the past two years. Are people seriously saying the Broncos are wrong to be going with Tebow?
 
2011-11-14 10:35:05 AM
GimpyNip: How many QBs have a 50% pass to TD ratio? Not many. NONE!

His pass to TD ratio would actually be 8:1. Yesterday Matt Schaub had a 7.5:1 pass to TD ratio. So, you know, him.
 
2011-11-14 10:35:16 AM
chimp_ninja: bel4sucks: chimp_ninja: Insider tip: They don't throw the ball

Insider tip: Why do it when you don't have to. And yeah if you think Orton is gonna hit that corner and go like Tebow you've been sucking that glass dick a little too long.

So replace him with a RB. He's barely throwing the ball, and when he does he's remarkably inaccurate. I'm sure Lance Ball or Knowshom Moreno could complete two passes per game if he had to.


So you're saying you don't have a problem with the style of offense that the Broncos run, you just don't want Tebow to run it? Why not?
 
2011-11-14 10:35:46 AM
bel4sucks: I love how all the football experts here on fark who hate Tebow always speak in such absolutes. CAN'T, WON'T, WILL NOT, NEVER...

3-1 as a starter this season. 1 INT this season. but 7 TDs, and two more on the ground. The Tebow led Broncos need one more win all season to match the Kyle Orton led Broncos for the past two.


1. Tebow plays a game of roulette with much higher risks than any other QB (think Vick w/ worse passing; I know, hard to imagine), which is likely to lead to significantly more injuries to himself.

2. Building an entire team around a QB that plays unlike any other QB seems like a recipe for disaster. Your backup won't mesh nearly as well if they're not of the same mold, which is especially problematic seeing as how Tebow is more likely to get injured than the normal QB.

3. Do you really think relying on the run when you're down 21-0 is a recipe for success? And don't say Tebow can learn to pass like Manning, he can't. He's tried.
 
2011-11-14 10:36:30 AM
GimpyNip: I like how I said three times that Tebow wasn't a great QB but he gives the Broncos the best chance of winning and these two arrogant assclowns keep spouting hyperbole like, "Oh, he's bugs bunny now, catching his own pass is he?" What are you two strumpets talking about? Hey, sorry you wanted the guy to fail and he hasn't.

I don't care what he does. I just hate that it's always, "Tebow wins." I mean, there are 10 other guys on offense.

/You got a little Tebow on your mouth.....right there.
 
Displayed 50 of 199 comments

First | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | » | Last | Show all


This thread is closed to new comments.

Continue Farking
Submit a Link »