BigLuca: oneodd1: +1

THIS

chemical_angel: the_sidewinder: BigLuca: oneodd1: +1

THIS

-1

Not that

Then who?

Facebook wil destroy Google, mark my words.

Scrophulous Barking Duck: Slaxl: the_sidewinder: chemical_angel: the_sidewinder: BigLuca: oneodd1: +1

THIS

-1

Not that

Then who?

+2

/it rhymes

Who's on first.

When will then be now?

Sick and Tired of Being Sick and Tired: Lord Dimwit: Facebook wil destroy Google, mark my words.

As BS? Sure ;-)

Heh. :) Maybe "destroy" is too strong a word, but the push lately is to move to a walled garden. Just like AOL years ago, for many people Facebook is the Internet. Unlike AOL, Facebook is getting lots of support from other companies. I see ads that say "www.facebook.com/myproduct" instead of "www.myproduct.com" more often than not now.

Google depends on the Internet being open to inspection. Facebook is closed. Google will be around for a long time of course, indexing the non-Facebook internet, but for a very large portion of the Internet-using population, it will cease to matter much at all. Google will become the place you go only when something doesn't already have a Facebook page.

Lord Dimwit: Sick and Tired of Being Sick and Tired: Lord Dimwit: Facebook wil destroy Google, mark my words.

As BS? Sure ;-)

Heh. :) Maybe "destroy" is too strong a word, but the push lately is to move to a walled garden. Just like AOL years ago, for many people Facebook is the Internet. Unlike AOL, Facebook is getting lots of support from other companies. I see ads that say "www.facebook.com/myproduct" instead of "www.myproduct.com" more often than not now.

Google depends on the Internet being open to inspection. Facebook is closed. Google will be around for a long time of course, indexing the non-Facebook internet, but for a very large portion of the Internet-using population, it will cease to matter much at all. Google will become the place you go only when something doesn't already have a Facebook page.

Maybe you forget every ad about a decade ago had "AOL keyword X!" in it. I think you're vastly underestimating the support AOL got from companies that didn't know better - which are probably the same companies who want to be on Facebook instead of their own site.

drkdstryer: Lord Dimwit: Sick and Tired of Being Sick and Tired: Lord Dimwit: Facebook wil destroy Google, mark my words.

As BS? Sure ;-)

Heh. :) Maybe "destroy" is too strong a word, but the push lately is to move to a walled garden. Just like AOL years ago, for many people Facebook is the Internet. Unlike AOL, Facebook is getting lots of support from other companies. I see ads that say "www.facebook.com/myproduct" instead of "www.myproduct.com" more often than not now.

Google depends on the Internet being open to inspection. Facebook is closed. Google will be around for a long time of course, indexing the non-Facebook internet, but for a very large portion of the Internet-using population, it will cease to matter much at all. Google will become the place you go only when something doesn't already have a Facebook page.

Maybe you forget every ad about a decade ago had "AOL keyword X!" in it. I think you're vastly underestimating the support AOL got from companies that didn't know better - which are probably the same companies who want to be on Facebook instead of their own site.

Except that roughly 33% of the Internet-using population worldwide regularly uses Facebook, whereas at its peak, AOL never had more than about 5% of the Internet-using population. In the US something like half the population - the absolute population, not just regular net users - have an active Facebook account.

And I'm not saying that companies will be on Facebook exclusively. Chevy puts "facebook.com/chevy" in their ads instead of "chevy.com". Even if the Facebook Chevy page just links you over to chevy.com at the first opportunity, that was still a search lost for Google. Transient products, like movies and such, often end up with Facebook-only pages or pages that send you to Facebook for more information.

(Yes, I know people probably don't need to search for "Chevy". Just using it as an example.)

Facebook is rapidly becoming the preferred single-sign-on method for the Internet. Even Yahoo, which runs its own gamut of services, now lets you login via Facebook and actually makes that login more prominent than the Yahoo login on Flickr (owned by Yahoo).

More than half of all major retailers in the world have a Facebook page.

So I think Facebook's current penetration and mindshare is greater than AOL's ever was, in both relative and absolute terms.

themirth: Lord Dimwit: Heh. :) Maybe "destroy" is too strong a word, but the push lately is to move to a walled garden. Just like AOL years ago, for many people Facebook is the Internet. Unlike AOL, Facebook is getting lots of support from other companies. I see ads that say "www.facebook.com/myproduct" instead of "www.myproduct.com" more often than not now.
Google will become the place you go only when something doesn't already have a Facebook page.

...and all storefronts will be amazon or ebay. Yes this doesn't sound like other poorly played out predictions at all.

Amazon directly accounts for about a third of all e-commerce in the United States, and other huge companies run on top of Amazon's infrastructure. Netflix, for example, runs on top of Amazon. The share that Amazon accounts for, directly or indirectly, is growing.

eBay is the second-largest e-commerce site in the world, after Amazon, and commands another huge percentage.

So no, not every storefront is Amazon or eBay, but the lion's share (in terms of revenue) are.

Lord Dimwit: drkdstryer: Lord Dimwit: Sick and Tired of Being Sick and Tired: Lord Dimwit: Facebook wil destroy Google, mark my words.

As BS? Sure ;-)

Heh. :) Maybe "destroy" is too strong a word, but the push lately is to move to a walled garden. Just like AOL years ago, for many people Facebook is the Internet. Unlike AOL, Facebook is getting lots of support from other companies. I see ads that say "www.facebook.com/myproduct" instead of "www.myproduct.com" more often than not now.

Google depends on the Internet being open to inspection. Facebook is closed. Google will be around for a long time of course, indexing the non-Facebook internet, but for a very large portion of the Internet-using population, it will cease to matter much at all. Google will become the place you go only when something doesn't already have a Facebook page.

Maybe you forget every ad about a decade ago had "AOL keyword X!" in it. I think you're vastly underestimating the support AOL got from companies that didn't know better - which are probably the same companies who want to be on Facebook instead of their own site.

Except that roughly 33% of the Internet-using population worldwide regularly uses Facebook, whereas at its peak, AOL never had more than about 5% of the Internet-using population. In the US something like half the population - the absolute population, not just regular net users - have an active Facebook account.


You can't compare FB to AOL. AOL wasn't just a website, it was people's service provider. Their first experience getting onto the internet was through AOL's portal and many never needed more than that. It had self-contained search engine, email client, shopping, etc. FB doesn't have most of that. It CERTAINLY doesn't have a search engine, it only recently introduced email (which few of their users bother with since they needed a working email address in order to sign up), and you can't shop on there. It's a toy that allows people to interface with other people & businesses--a giant IRC with pictures and games. FB is enough for the people who don't really understand the internet and just want to re-connect with old friends (my mother-in-law is one of these. The only reason she has internet is for FB). ALL FB users had to have a service provider & a working email in order to access FB.

Just because FB's membership is huge doesn't mean all those people are using FB as their primary interface for the internet. And, don't forget, ony 3-4 years ago, MySpace was the predominant social networking site. Who's to say another, more robust site won't crop up in another few years and complete demolish FB?

Why isn't voting enabled?