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(Science Daily)   Black carbon implicated in global warming. Fox News conflicted on whether to run with the story   (sciencedaily.com) divider line 82
    More: Interesting, black carbon, Nature Geoscience, Carbon, organic matter, air pollution, World Meteorological Organization, global warming, sulfates  
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6039 clicks; posted to Main » on 31 Jul 2010 at 10:08 PM   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



82 Comments   (+0 »)
   

Archived thread
 
2010-07-31 10:10:45 PM
I see what you did there.
 
2010-07-31 10:10:50 PM
"Black carbon"??????? I have never heard that term before, ever. After RTFA, ummm, "soot"?
 
2010-07-31 10:12:14 PM
Is Fark broken?
Has time frozen?
Am I the last man on earth?

Hello?
 
2010-07-31 10:12:47 PM
NAACP issues a statement condemning Fox News and Glenn Beck in 3,2,1...
 
2010-07-31 10:12:51 PM
i648.photobucket.com
 
2010-07-31 10:13:34 PM
Oh sure, blame the black carbon, you racist bastards!
 
2010-07-31 10:13:45 PM
It is only 3/5s of white carbon.
 
2010-07-31 10:19:16 PM
i194.photobucket.com

Before you start hatin'.... I didn't have lockbox with that woman.
 
2010-07-31 10:19:40 PM
Having grown up in California, I often wondered why I had to pay large sums of money to keep my car exhaust "clean" when I would follow diesel trucks and buses belching out this crap! I am happy to hear common sense meeting up with science to say that "Geez, those trucks and buses belching out visible clouds of nastiness are actually the big problem."

NO DUH!
 
2010-07-31 10:19:50 PM
Black carbon is the real racism.
 
2010-07-31 10:22:41 PM
Is is just heartwarming to see that the money we have poured into this group of "scientists" is really starting to pay dividends.

And the ozone article in sideboard is just as thrilling.

Glad to see this is one area where you get what you pay for.

/product however remains imaginary and a consensual dogma.
 
2010-07-31 10:23:25 PM
Quantum Apostrophe: "Black carbon"??????? I have never heard that term before, ever. After RTFA, ummm, "soot"?

Soot is...carbon. Like, C, carbon carbon. When I hear 'carbon' in the context of environmental news it usually means "carbon dioxide." Calling CO2 'carbon' is sort of like calling H2O 'Oxygen'.
 
2010-07-31 10:23:29 PM
Came for Dat's Racist kid. Not leaving disappointed.
 
2010-07-31 10:23:40 PM
SlimXx: Oh sure, blame the black carbon, you racist bastards!

Well, it certainly isn't the white carbon!
 
2010-07-31 10:24:28 PM
BubbaJones: Having grown up in California, I often wondered why I had to pay large sums of money to keep my car exhaust "clean" when I would follow diesel trucks and buses belching out this crap!

Corporations are more important than you are.
 
2010-07-31 10:24:35 PM
Ha! And you thought the Black Man didn't understand molecules.
 
2010-07-31 10:25:02 PM
Obama already fired them.
 
2010-07-31 10:25:18 PM
So... who wants to write the letter to China and India to have their citizens cease and desist their shiat burning? Just cc a copy to Europe with the bit about diesel cars.

k thanks.
 
2010-07-31 10:28:29 PM
Myself, I long for the day when our population of sheeple is on foot and unarmed.

/your future
 
2010-07-31 10:34:47 PM
BubbaJones: Having grown up in California, I often wondered why I had to pay large sums of money to keep my car exhaust "clean" when I would follow diesel trucks and buses belching out this crap! I am happy to hear common sense meeting up with science to say that "Geez, those trucks and buses belching out visible clouds of nastiness are actually the big problem."

NO DUH!


There is no such thing as "clean diesel". Just as there is no such thing as "clean coal". These are marketing terms put out there by the oil and coal lobbies to make people think that these industries care about the environment. Except for keeping government regulators off their backs, they don't care. Not in the least. Both fuels produce extremely toxic and polluting by-products as they're burned.
 
2010-07-31 10:35:27 PM
snocone: Myself, I long for the day when our population of sheeple is on foot and unarmed.

/your future


I'm sure someone will nibble the hook eventually.
 
2010-07-31 10:35:36 PM
A few global warming threads ago, I believe I mentioned soot and farming practices as real easy ways to begin the effort to back down the menace. Someone -- don't know who -- scoffed.

Put written apologies over there in that box. (No. That's for alms. The other box.)
 
2010-07-31 10:37:07 PM
I've decided not to believe in global climate change, and no science will change my mind.
 
2010-07-31 10:38:41 PM
Any fourteen oceangoing cargo ships together provide as much pollution, of all kinds, as EVERY car on the planet -- EVERY year. And there are twenty thousand of them. If every car and truck were retired right now, we'd hardly notice the difference in terms of global pollution from transportation sources.

Know why we regulate passenger vehicles? Because we can.
 
2010-07-31 10:42:02 PM
paidhima: snocone: Myself, I long for the day when our population of sheeple is on foot and unarmed.

/your future

I'm sure someone will nibble the hook eventually.


patience, grasshopper
 
2010-07-31 10:45:07 PM
drumdaddyjb: So... who wants to write the letter to China and India to have their citizens cease and desist their shiat burning? Just cc a copy to Europe with the bit about diesel cars.

k thanks.


Don't forget Africa. Got to keep them living in grinding poverty. Ya know, for the good of the planet. We'll let them have solar panels so they can have a radio and listen to how awesome it is to have things like running water, indoor plumbing, paved roads, and air conditioning.

The west is not the problem anymore. We've cleaned up out act. I know people who live only a few miles from coal burning power plants. Not a spec of soot to be found, not a whiff of sulfur in the air. Try doing that In China. You'll need a tape measure to measure how thick the soot gets.

Environmental protection techniques should be shared with these developing countries and their installation encouraged. With all the money we blow on foreign air I would think we could ask they spend a bit on some basic scrubbers for their power plants. Better fireboxes in coal plants not only make for cleaner emissions, they increase efficiency as well. Other technologies both increase efficiency and reduce harmful emissions.

Are they gonna be as clean as the west? No, but they don't have to be as dirty as we were when those technologies didn't exist.

Will politicians thus implement reasonable regulations that weight the costs and benefits? I doubt it.
 
2010-07-31 10:45:46 PM
So the real culprits are backward-ass cooking methods in Asia and those miniature diesel trucks they call 'lorries' in Europe?


Yeah, they can kiss my ass then, I'm gonna go buy a Hummer...
 
2010-07-31 10:50:32 PM
Fark Me To Tears: There is no such thing as "clean diesel". Just as there is no such thing as "clean coal".

Bull shiat. My family were largely farmers in the past. I was told stories about how the coal power plants used to blacken the fields, reducing crop yield, and stink up the air. Drive by a coal plant today and see if that's still the case

Today those problems no longer exist. As I said before. I know people who live right next to coal power plants and you don't even notice them.
 
2010-07-31 10:51:07 PM
Sylvia_Bandersnatch: Any fourteen oceangoing cargo ships together provide as much pollution, of all kinds, as EVERY car on the planet -- EVERY year. And there are twenty thousand of them. If every car and truck were retired right now, we'd hardly notice the difference in terms of global pollution from transportation sources.

Know why we regulate passenger vehicles? Because we can.


Its about the money. Those ocean going ships make governments (and corporations) money. Cars/light trucks? not so much. This way governments can charge a fee to have it inspected, and shops can then do the repairs. in some places you have to do this every single year. Makes it so shops will always have some sort of work.
 
2010-07-31 10:52:31 PM
Sylvia_Bandersnatch: Any fourteen oceangoing cargo ships together provide as much pollution, of all kinds, as EVERY car on the planet -- EVERY year. And there are twenty thousand of them. If every car and truck were retired right now, we'd hardly notice the difference in terms of global pollution from transportation sources.

Know why we regulate passenger vehicles? Because we can.


Well, it also keeps our cities from being smelly shiatholes.

/outside of LA, that is.
 
2010-07-31 10:52:40 PM
Fark Me To Tears:
There is no such thing as "clean diesel". Just as there is no such thing as "clean coal". These are marketing terms put out there by the oil and coal lobbies to make people think that these industries care about the environment. Except for keeping government regulators off their backs, they don't care. Not in the least. Both fuels produce extremely toxic and polluting by-products as they're burned.


Fark me to Tears on "cleaning his room":

Mom, there is no such thing as a "clean room". this is a marketing term that the corporations use to brainwash the sheeple. Even a room with all the stuff picked up off the floor, that's been vacuumed and dusted, still has literally millions of germs on all its surfaces. And, as we know, germs are bad and do bad things.

So I shouldn't have to clean my room, because it's rendered futile by corporations being evil.
 
2010-07-31 10:57:18 PM
What kind of idiots write this crap. Black carbon as opposed to what, diamond dust maybe and sulphate, what the hell is sulphate. Calcium sulphate is plaster but there isn't sulphate by itself in the atmosphere or anywhere else. There is SO2 from catalytic convertors but it isn't sulphate.
 
2010-07-31 10:59:15 PM
snocone: paidhima: snocone: Myself, I long for the day when our population of sheeple is on foot and unarmed.

/your future

I'm sure someone will nibble the hook eventually.

patience, grasshopper


Ahh, awesome. I can update my tag from "moonbat" to "troll".
 
2010-07-31 11:01:44 PM
Githerax: I've decided not to believe in global climate change, and no science will change my mind.

I've decided to believe in global climate change, but simultaneously believe that a warmer, carbon-richer planet is better for us anyway. Reality can go suck a dog's dick.

I, for one, will gladly trade California, Florida, and DC for increased crop yields, and homesteading in Siberia.
 
2010-07-31 11:15:37 PM
Crosshair: Fark Me To Tears: There is no such thing as "clean diesel". Just as there is no such thing as "clean coal".

Bull shiat. My family were largely farmers in the past. I was told stories about how the coal power plants used to blacken the fields, reducing crop yield, and stink up the air. Drive by a coal plant today and see if that's still the case

Today those problems no longer exist. As I said before. I know people who live right next to coal power plants and you don't even notice them.


Veggie oil is carbon neutral, probably as close to clean diesel as you're gonna get. And everywhere you go it smells like In'N'Out at the end of the day. Clean coal is a new one to me. Do all pollutants stink?
 
2010-07-31 11:16:32 PM
(man made) global warming was invented by the anti capitalist, to tug at the heartstrings of the dopes in the world. Throw out god and you have people believing man can destroy something like the world (man can blow up the world with nukes, but that's it).
Nature has a remarkable way of taking care of itself...by design...by god. The sun has been on a low mode (lack of sunspots) for years, and is now just waking up.
Output of the sun increases = warmer temperatures...duh!
 
2010-07-31 11:21:38 PM
p51d007: (man made) global warming was invented by the anti capitalist, to tug at the heartstrings of the dopes in the world. Throw out god and you have people believing man can destroy something like the world (man can blow up the world with nukes, but that's it).
Nature has a remarkable way of taking care of itself...by design...by god. The sun has been on a low mode (lack of sunspots) for years, and is now just waking up.
Output of the sun increases = warmer temperatures...duh!


So...what else is going on in Enquirer-land?
 
2010-07-31 11:22:55 PM
BP...............DAH!
 
2010-07-31 11:24:03 PM
i46.tinypic.com

well played, clevermitter!
 
2010-07-31 11:32:38 PM
FTFH: 'Black carbon implicated in global warming. Fox News conflicted on whether to run with the story.'

Whereas ABCCBSCNNMSNBCNBC all claim the theory is fact and the government needs to start a program costing billions of dollars to rectify the problem.
 
2010-07-31 11:34:25 PM

Bull shiat. My family were largely farmers in the past. I was told stories about how the coal power plants used to blacken the fields, reducing crop yield, and stink up the air. Drive by a coal plant today and see if that's still the case

Today those problems no longer exist. As I said before. I know people who live right next to coal power plants and you don't even notice them.


Just because the smut isn't belching into the air as it once did doesn't mean it is "clean". They scrub the pollutants out of the air, but they still exist. It's a shell game, now you just don't see it. "clean coal" is a myth. Do a little research before you call bullshiat.
 
2010-07-31 11:35:32 PM
Fark Me To Tears:
There is no such thing as "clean diesel". Just as there is no such thing as "clean coal". These are marketing terms put out there by the oil and coal lobbies to make people think that these industries care about the environment. Except for keeping government regulators off their backs, they don't care. Not in the least. Both fuels produce extremely toxic and polluting by-products as they're burned.


So having suddenly forgotten about other pollutants, green-leaning governments around the world have been taxing raw CO2 outputs from cars.

Hey presto - the world car fleet moves to diesel as an easy way to beat the taxes, which we now find not only increases particulate pollution but now increases global warming anyway.

Hooray for stupid government!
 
2010-08-01 12:07:01 AM
darth_shatner: Hey presto - the world car fleet moves to diesel as an easy way to beat the taxes, which we now find not only increases particulate pollution but now increases global warming anyway.

nah, many of em have been on diesel since it's also cheaper in many other countries, then gas
 
2010-08-01 12:07:45 AM
So when are we going to stop arguing about causes, and start researching, a) results, and b) palliatives?

Somebody above said they'd trade coastline for "increased crop yields and farming in Siberia." That would be nice...if we knew that that was what would happen. There are as many theories to state that the thawing of the permafrost in Siberia would not create arable farmland, but instead the world's largest marsh; the resultant plagues of mosquitoes and other insects would be a disease sump that could make the Black Death and malaria endemic again.

Would there be increased crop yields? Maybe, but where? And for how long? During the last period of global warming, the Medieval Warm Period (~900-1300 AD), there were extended growing seasons and larger crop yields in Northern Europe. There were also record floods and droughts in North America; decades-long El Ninos in South America, and floods and famines along the Yellow and Yangtze Rivers in China.

And if there were increased crop yields, that would lead to increased populations globally. We can't feed our populations now. Global warming, we know from the last one, also leads to drought and a need for water rationing. What do we do for warmer areas with less water? What about desertification? And what happens when the warm period ends? Most climatologists are in agreement that warm periods nearly always end in much cooler ones that last much longer.

The Medieval Warm Period became the Little Ice Age (~1330-1850 AD), a 500-year period of blisteringly hot summers and frigid winters that killed millions from starvation, disease and warfare.

But have no thought for the morrow.
 
2010-08-01 12:08:34 AM
suggests??
Get back to me when you know.
 
2010-08-01 12:18:36 AM
TwowheelinTim: Just because the smut isn't belching into the air as it once did doesn't mean it is "clean". They scrub the pollutants out of the air, but they still exist. It's a shell game, now you just don't see it. "clean coal" is a myth. Do a little research before you call bullshiat.

I have and people who say clean coal is a myth are largely "watermellons" and armchair yuppie twits like yourself who have never known and never experienced "dirty" coal. Both my dad and uncle worked in cola plants and coal mines in the past so I have people I can ask directly. Both are amazed at the progress that has been made over the last 30 years and comment how much cleaner and more efficient everything is today.

Is clean coal perfect? No, nobody is making that argument. Is it clean in the sense that it does a small fraction of the pollution that occurred in the past? Absolutely. My church does mission trips to Peru. You see people whose handkerchiefs are black from the soot that they breath in. You don't see that in the US.

Something does not need to be perfect to be "clean". My beddroom is "clean" compared to the garage, but quite dirty compared to a hospital operating room. Look at the coal plants in places like China that lack even basic scrubbers. Then compare that to an average coal plant in the US and say with a straight face that the US plant isn't "clean". You can't and trying to make the argument speaks only to one pursuing political agendas independent of facts. If you want to shiver in the dark and cold, be my guest. I'll take clean coal over no coal thank you very much.

Now, we can argue over solutions that are cleaner than coal, like nuclear. I'm all for the development and mass production of breeder and other types of nuclear reactors to reduce our coal use, but of course the watermellons don't want that either. They think parricide is slaving for 15 hours a day on subsistence farming and dying when we are 47. No thanks.
 
2010-08-01 12:27:38 AM

Once again, standard argument collection; draft 0.0.6 "points" list...

1) The Earth's climate is dictated by many variables, including but not limited to incoming solar radiation, albedo (surface reflectivity), ocean circulation, GHGs (greenhouse gases).
2) Changes in these variables result in changes in the Earth's climate; such changes can either be forcings (initial drivers) or feedbacks (amplifying/dampening responses). Some variables can be both (such as CO2), while others are basically one or other (tropospheric water vapor is essentially only a feedback, solar irradiance only a forcing).
3) GHGs influence the climate by changing the planetary energy balance- short-wave radiation (light) passes through the atmosphere to reach the Earth's surface, where it is absorbed and reradiated as longer wave radiation (infrared); although GHGs are basically transparent to visible light, they are not with respect to IR, absorbing and re-emitting it and thus increasing the Earth's energy balance.
4) Changes in the Earth's energy balance will result in a warming or cooling to a new equilibrium. The presence of GHGs and the resultant increase in Earth's energy balance, including positive and negative feedbacks, increased the Earth's globally averaged temperature by ~33K.
5) Human activities such as fossil fuel combustion and land use have increased the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere well outside the bounds of natural variability for at least the last 800,000 and likely the last several million years, necessitating a warming to a higher equilibrium in the absence of some mitigating factor.
6) How the climate system (including feedbacks) responds to changes in forcings and feedbacks can be constrained by examining paleoclimatic (from the Earth's history), observational, and physics-based modeling evidence. This evidence provides a basis for "fingerprints" of various perturbations to the climate system.
7) Observed phenomena such as changes in/to: the surface temperature over the last century, temperature trends in different layers of the atmosphere, outgoing and incoming radiation, expansion of the tropics, etc. are consistent with the "fingerprint" of enhanced greenhouse warming and stratospheric ozone depletion in addition to natural fluctuations in solar, volcanic, ocean/atmosphere oscillatory activity.
8) Conversely changes in non-anthropogenic GHG forcings/ozone depleting substances alone (e.g. solar irradiance, volcanism, ocean/atmosphere oscillations, etc.) are insufficient to explain observed phenomena.
9) Paleoclimatic, observational, and physics-based modeling evidence necessitate further warming to a higher equilibrium, with concomitant changes in climatic norms like globally averaged surface temperature, precipitation patterns, sea level, etc. to which human civilization is accustomed.
10) While these changes will not be uniformly negative (e.g. high latitude NH countries like the China, Russia, Canada, the US may see an initial boost in crop productivity), the balance of evidence suggests that warming beyond 2°C will result in net negative consequences for humanity.
11) Unchecked emissions growth is capable of driving a warming of ~ 6°C in a century or two, a similar temperature change from the warmth of an interglacial to the depths of an ice age but an order or two of magnitude more rapidly.
12) Due to the immense atmospheric lifetime of CO2, emissions trajectory policies decided now matter in determining impacts experienced not just over the next few decades, but in the coming centuries and millennia.
13) Although climate is dynamic, in the geologic past changes similar to those expected under unchecked emissions growth (in magnitude and rate of change) have resulted in mass extinction events.
14) Mitigation of emissions to a stabilization level of ~450 ppm CO2 or lower is technologically possible and economically feasible (i.e. will cost growth of global GDP equivalent or less than the cost of unchecked emissions growth).


Plus, for anyone who wants to keep score in the thread:

Counterarguing is an often effective resistance strategy that involves direct rebuttal of message arguments (Abelson, 1959; Buller, 1986; Cameron & Jacks, 1999; Eagly & Chaiken, 1995; Festinger, 1957; Festinger & Maccoby, 1964; Jacks & Devine, 2000; McGuire, 1964; Sherif, Sherif, & Nebergall, 1965; Wright, 1975; Zuwerink & Devine, 1996). Attitude bolstering, in contrast, involves support arguing- that is, generating thoughts that are consistent with and supportive of one's original attitude without directly refuting message arguments (Abelson, 1959; Cameron & Jacks, 1999; Festinger, 1957; McGuire, 1964; Sherman & Gorkin, 1980). Message distortion involves selectively processing or understanding a persuasive message in a way that favors one's original attitude (Cooper & Jahoda, 1947; Festinger, 1957; Kunda, 1990; Lord, Ross, & Lepper, 1979; Pomerantz, Chaiken, & Tordesillas, 1995). Social validation involves resisting the message by bringing to mind important others who share one's original attitude (Festinger, 1950, 1954, 1957; Festinger, Gerard, Hymovitch, Kelley, & Raven, 1952). Source derogation involves insulting the source, dismissing his or her expertise or trustworthiness, or otherwise rejecting his or her validity (Buller, 1986; Festinger, 1957; Festinger & Maccoby, 1964; Wright, 1975). Social validation and source derogation are responses that do not require message scrutiny, although both are likely to be coded as unfavorable thoughts in the general cognitive response approach. Negative affect involves responding to the persuasive attempt by getting angry, irritated, or upset (Abelson & Miller, 1967; Jacks & Devine, 2000; Janis & Terwilliger, 1962; Sherif et al., 1965; Zuwerink & Devine, 1996). Finally, selective exposure involves resisting persuasion by leaving the situation or actively tuning out the persuasive message (e.g., Brock & Balloun, 1967; Frey, 1986; Kleinhesselink & Edwards, 1975). - (doi:10.1207/S15324834BASP2502_5)
 
2010-08-01 12:28:51 AM
Oh, and the pretty picture for the scorekeeping crowd.

a.imageshack.us.
 
2010-08-01 12:32:12 AM
abb3w: Oh, and the pretty picture for the scorekeeping crowd.

.


couldn't you have just posted something smarmy from XKCD or Penny Arcade?
 
2010-08-01 12:34:12 AM
Crosshair: I have and people who say clean coal is a myth are largely "watermellons"

You really still call black people "watermelons" where you're from?

Lame.
 
2010-08-01 12:37:12 AM
Dwight_Yeast: You really still call black people "watermelons" where you're from?

Yeah, I can see Fort Sumter on my commute, and I've never heard that.
 
2010-08-01 12:39:24 AM
Fark Me To Tears: BubbaJones: Having grown up in California, I often wondered why I had to pay large sums of money to keep my car exhaust "clean" when I would follow diesel trucks and buses belching out this crap! I am happy to hear common sense meeting up with science to say that "Geez, those trucks and buses belching out visible clouds of nastiness are actually the big problem."

NO DUH!

There is no such thing as "clean diesel". Just as there is no such thing as "clean coal". These are marketing terms put out there by the oil and coal lobbies to make people think that these industries care about the environment. Except for keeping government regulators off their backs, they don't care. Not in the least. Both fuels produce extremely toxic and polluting by-products as they're burned.


That's just stupid. Find an 2009+ Volkswagen diesel and stick your finger in the tailpipe. If it is dirty... something is broken. Diesels with particulate filters run just as clean as any ULEV vehicle with slightly higher nox levels, but lower co2 thanks to less fuel usage. Clean diesel isn't just stuffing co2 into tanks like clean coal, it is farking clean.
 
2010-08-01 01:09:18 AM
Crosshair: The west is not the problem anymore. We've cleaned up out act. I know people who live only a few miles from coal burning power plants. Not a spec of soot to be found, not a whiff of sulfur in the air. Try doing that In China. You'll need a tape measure to measure how thick the soot gets.

While it's certainly not as bad as China, the sole coal plant in Washington State is responsible for over half of the smog producing emissions in the State, along with being the largest single source emissions of NOx and mercury in our area. Coal power is by no means 'clean.'

Link (new window)

Link (new window)

Link (new window)
 
2010-08-01 01:09:40 AM
Black carbons -- arising from such sources as diesel engine exhaust and cooking fires -- are widely considered a factor in global warming...

www.surfacestations.org

Yep, more than you know.
 
2010-08-01 01:15:12 AM
Alleyoop: Black carbons -- arising from such sources as diesel engine exhaust and cooking fires -- are widely considered a factor in global warming...



Yep, more than you know.


what the heck is that mounted next to the chimney?

and i think i have that exact model of grill
 
2010-08-01 01:34:16 AM
loonatic112358: what the heck is that mounted next to the chimney?

www.norcalblogs.com

The thermometers tend to attract heat sources for some reason.

www.norcalblogs.com

Gots plenty more. Can anybody find one of these thermometers with a bag of ice on them? Good luck.
 
2010-08-01 01:55:45 AM
Alleyoop: Gots plenty more. Can anybody find one of these thermometers with a bag of ice on them? Good luck.

So, are you arguing that 2010 is not one of the hottest years on record, or that the past decade has not been by far the hottest decade on record? And your argument is that some photograph of a residential house for some reason discounts the entirety of scientific weather stations? Seriously?
 
2010-08-01 02:19:30 AM
Split atoms not wood?
 
2010-08-01 02:19:44 AM
Alleyoop: www.norcalblogs.com

The thermometers tend to attract heat sources for some reason.

www.norcalblogs.com

Gots plenty more. Can anybody find one of these thermometers with a bag of ice on them? Good luck.


That's the thing about weather station data, they don't all have to be perfect sites - ideally, yes, but in practice, it doesn't matter with a sampling size of over a thousand. You have your city-by-city METAR stations (the ones the National Weather Service have strict sighting regulations for aviation weather forecasts at each major/medium sized airport) that offer perfect, unbiased measurements. You use the trending data from these sites to offset heat-island effects of less optimum sites and also use that data to throw away heavily biased readings (say from a burn barrel, or A/C unit cycling).

As much as I hate to say it, this isn't rocket science. You have a set of control data in which to base the accuracy of readings from your less tightly controlled stations. I maintain about a half dozen private weather stations in the same 100 mile region. Even with a sampling size that small, it's pretty easy to pick out errant data from one or two units when compared to the 4 other stations. Unless they're surrounded by a mile of paving in all directions, it's pretty easy to determine local site influences by temperature changes via changes in wind direction. If for some reason one station always reads 3 degrees warmer when the wind blows from the south, when compared to 4 other stations in the immediate region, you can safely say that is a temperature variance in that equipment's substandard site; probably due to a local heat source to the immediate South. In the case of the A/C unit location, it would be obvious to see the temperature of one station suddenly rise 10 degrees over a few minutes, every afternoon.

You guys love to claim that all the decades of surface temperature data is bunk because of a certain percentage of stations aren't perfectly sited. You've obviously never taken a statistics class, or ever monitored a professional weather station. Even if we had 10,000 perfectly sited METAR stations, with 100 years of weather data - you'd still complain that no one could know for certain that the data that came before wasn't tampered with 90 years ago.
 
2010-08-01 02:32:55 AM
MrSteve007: You guys love to claim that all the decades of surface temperature data is bunk because of a certain percentage of stations aren't perfectly sited. You've obviously never taken a statistics class, or ever monitored a professional weather station. Even if we had 10,000 perfectly sited METAR stations, with 100 years of weather data - you'd still complain that no one could know for certain that the data that came before wasn't tampered with 90 years ago.

For reference, here^ is a paper -- lifted from chimp_ninja -- that demonstrates the statistical meanderings this gentleman speaks of. Figure 7 cuts to the heart of the jig.
 
2010-08-01 06:00:53 AM
Gyrfalcon: Somebody above said they'd trade coastline for "increased crop yields and farming in Siberia." That would be nice...if we knew that that was what would happen.

That was me, and I clearly said that I chose to believe that, reality be damned. Stop assaulting me with reality.

MrSteve007: ...(the ones the National Weather Service have strict sighting regulations for aviation weather forecasts at each major/medium sized airport)...

Spellcheck is not always your friend.
 
2010-08-01 06:22:58 AM
FTFA

"In a paper published in May 2008 in Nature Geoscience, Carmichael and Ramanathan found that black carbon soot from diesel engine exhaust and cooking fires -- widely used in Asia -- may play a larger role than previously thought in global warming. They said that coal and cow dung-fueled cooking fires in China and India produce about one-third of black carbon; the rest is largely due to diesel exhaust in Europe and other regions relying on diesel transport. The paper also noted that soot and other forms of black carbon could equal up to 60 percent of the current global warming effect of carbon dioxide, the leading greenhouse gas."

Wait...isn't global warming entirely the US' fault since we're a pollution belching, capitalist, developed nation and the rest of the world wishes they could be like us? That's what we've been told for the past 40 yrs.

OK India and China: You guys need to start mandating eco friendly camp fires before the ice caps melt and polar bears die! Europe: you thought diesel was a grand idea. Stop it!

/I love science. What was trumpeted as truth yesterday is garbage today.
 
2010-08-01 07:42:30 AM
Black Carbon... it used to be called plain old "soot".

But you can't scare people or redistribute wealth with soot.

abb3w: Oh, and the pretty picture for the scorekeeping crowd.


LO farking L
 
2010-08-01 10:20:24 AM
MrSteve007:
You guys love to claim that all the decades of surface temperature data is bunk because of a certain percentage of stations aren't perfectly sited. You've obviously never taken a statistics class, or ever monitored a professional weather station.


It's even worse than that. Remember a few years ago, the meme was "well, if you look at the satellite data, you'll see that global warming is just an product of the urban heat island effect"...

Then what happened: the satellite data continued to come in, and it showed that global warming was even worse than imagined...

You don't hear that argument anymore. Not that they'll admit they're wrong, just move on to another line of denial...
 
2010-08-01 11:36:50 AM
dforkus: MrSteve007:
You guys love to claim that all the decades of surface temperature data is bunk because of a certain percentage of stations aren't perfectly sited. You've obviously never taken a statistics class, or ever monitored a professional weather station.

It's even worse than that. Remember a few years ago, the meme was "well, if you look at the satellite data, you'll see that global warming is just an product of the urban heat island effect"...

Then what happened: the satellite data continued to come in, and it showed that global warming was even worse than imagined...

You don't hear that argument anymore. Not that they'll admit they're wrong, just move on to another line of denial...


It's actually even worse than that: the aggregated station records show a bias towards cooling, not warming.

Poor sites show a cooler maximum temperature compared to good sites. For minimum temperature, the poor sites are slightly warmer. The net effect is a cool bias in poorly sited stations. Considering all the air-conditioners, BBQs, car parks and tarmacs, this result is somewhat a surprise. (new window)

Of course Alleyoop doesn't care about the actual record, since he's been informed of this fact before.
 
2010-08-01 12:15:14 PM
TopoGigo: Githerax: I've decided not to believe in global climate change, and no science will change my mind.

I've decided to believe in global climate change, but simultaneously believe that a warmer, carbon-richer planet is better for us anyway. Reality can go suck a dog's dick.

I, for one, will gladly trade California, Florida, and DC for increased crop yields, and homesteading in Siberia.


I would trade all three for an eight ball, a hooker, and a paid-for hour and a half at the bar. What the hell, just get me a Happy Meal and I'll trade.
 
2010-08-01 12:32:24 PM
Racht: So, are you arguing that 2010 is not one of the hottest years on record, or that the past decade has not been by far the hottest decade on record?

No, and you are avoiding the point.

Racht: And your argument is that some photograph of a residential house for some reason discounts the entirety of scientific weather stations? Seriously?

You assume this is a residential house just like you assume the massaged data is accurate. I even labeled the MMTS temperature sensor (which also happens to be the most common form of sensor used by the USHCN). In any case, you appear to have missed the part of the article I quoted: cooking fires -- are widely considered a factor in global warming and you failed to see the irony.

MrSteve007: You guys love to claim that all the decades of surface temperature data is bunk because of a certain percentage of stations aren't perfectly sited.

Are you saying the percentage is insignificant?

MrSteve007: You've obviously never taken a statistics class,...

When I took Statistics in college (got an "A" by the way), I learned to watch out for bias causing a desired conclusion. Some of the scientists/technicians/whoever didn't appear to mind manufacturing evidence. Even when such corrupted data is found and thrown out, it causes one to question the overall credibility of the process. (Hey, it got OJ off.)

MrSteve007: ...or ever monitored a professional weather station.

Do you understand that there are too many unprofessional weather stations thrown into the mix to give much legitimacy to a conclusion?

MrSteve007: Even if we had 10,000 perfectly sited METAR stations, with 100 years of weather data - you'd still complain that no one could know for certain that the data that came before wasn't tampered with 90 years ago.

Then please explain why the NOAA needs to adjust the most recent data so much, compared to that of 100 years ago.

climate-skeptic.typepad.com

Zafler: Of course Alleyoop doesn't care about the actual record, since he's been informed of this fact before.

The chart above is for you too.

dforkus: the satellite data continued to come in, and it showed that global warming was even worse than imagined...

It probably is, and probably for the same reason the temperature of Mars went up.

auth.heartland.org
 
2010-08-01 01:12:17 PM
The funny thing about all this MMGW bulldada is that back in the 1960s, we had freaking AIR POLLUTION.

That crap was nasty. Most of the big cities had just choking Smog (combination of smoke and fog), and was like a yellow and brown blanket. The vast majority of that crap is NO MORE. Check out old episodes of Dragnet, to see what it used to look like.

That's right. It's gone. It's not around anymore. Things are much, much better now.

Now if you want to go to some third world crap hole, yeah, it's still polluted. But not America any more, except around a few really dense urban areas.

My point is that if we were going to have MMGW, it would have been THEN, not NOW.
 
2010-08-01 01:17:32 PM
You can all pull numbers out of as many Scientists asses that you like.

The "NEWS" isn't news. 130 years of record keeping, give me a farking break. Global warming YES, man-made, NO!

This planet has only been here for 5000 years though. Go figure.

IDIOTS!!!
 
2010-08-01 02:15:50 PM
whammer:

My point is that if we were going to have MMGW, it would have been THEN, not NOW.

You're right, except for the bit where you have it *completely backwards*.

The sulfur and smog of the 70's had a COOLING effect in much the same way volcanoes do. In fact, in cleaning up the more immediate problem of people choking in the streets and forests and lakes dying we removed one of the factors slowing the greenhouse effect.

You can actually see this in the northern hemisphere temperature data. There was a dip in the rate of increase during the times when smog was at it's worst.
 
2010-08-01 03:39:46 PM
Oh, and the pretty picture for the scorekeeping crowd.

That graphic makes no sense. I mean it says the name of the shows, but not what day or times they are on. Sometimes I just don't understand Fox News....
 
2010-08-01 08:08:00 PM
Alleyoop: Racht: So, are you arguing that 2010 is not one of the hottest years on record, or that the past decade has not been by far the hottest decade on record?

No, and you are avoiding the point.

Racht: And your argument is that some photograph of a residential house for some reason discounts the entirety of scientific weather stations? Seriously?

You assume this is a residential house just like you assume the massaged data is accurate. I even labeled the MMTS temperature sensor (which also happens to be the most common form of sensor used by the USHCN). In any case, you appear to have missed the part of the article I quoted: cooking fires -- are widely considered a factor in global warming and you failed to see the irony.

MrSteve007: You guys love to claim that all the decades of surface temperature data is bunk because of a certain percentage of stations aren't perfectly sited.

Are you saying the percentage is insignificant?

MrSteve007: You've obviously never taken a statistics class,...

When I took Statistics in college (got an "A" by the way), I learned to watch out for bias causing a desired conclusion. Some of the scientists/technicians/whoever didn't appear to mind manufacturing evidence. Even when such corrupted data is found and thrown out, it causes one to question the overall credibility of the process. (Hey, it got OJ off.)

MrSteve007: ...or ever monitored a professional weather station.

Do you understand that there are too many unprofessional weather stations thrown into the mix to give much legitimacy to a conclusion?

MrSteve007: Even if we had 10,000 perfectly sited METAR stations, with 100 years of weather data - you'd still complain that no one could know for certain that the data that came before wasn't tampered with 90 years ago.

Then please explain why the NOAA needs to adjust the most recent data so much, compared to that of 100 years ago.



Zafler: Of course Alleyoop doesn't care about the actual record, since he's been informed of this fact before.

The chart above is for you too.

dforkus: the satellite data continued to come in, and it showed that global warming was even worse than imagined...

It probably is, and probably for the same reason the temperature of Mars went up.


First off, why is the Mars data only the pole? Is it because it's only a regional increase in temperature, and not global?

Second off, do you know what NOAA is adjusting for? http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/ushcn/ushcn.html You won't read it though.
 
2010-08-01 08:12:38 PM
Shakin_Haitian: Alleyoop: Racht:
First off, why is the Mars data only the pole? Is it because it's only a regional increase in temperature, and not global?
You didn't even post data for Mars.

Second off, do you know what NOAA is adjusting for? http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/ushcn/ushcn.html You won't read it though.
 
2010-08-01 09:36:20 PM
Sulfur dioxide would be an effective negative forcing to counter CO2. One of the engineering schemes to mitigate AGW is to pump (annually) 20MTons of SO2 from outlets at the poles. From an altitude of around 10 miles. Aside from the improbability of the engineering, there are two problems. First, it's a "solution" for a problem that AGW opponents say doesn't exist. Second, the CO2 is currently acidifying the oceans and throwing up a screen of SO2 does nothing about that. Temperature increase is only one of the problems associated with putting 16GTons of carbon into the atmosphere every year.
 
2010-08-01 09:58:43 PM
I run a weather station that is about 266 meters horizontal and 166 meters higher than one of the oldest stations in Australia. My station and its disagree worse than the official station and the airport but I can pick up the lack of traffic on school holidays because of the heat island effect on the nearby roads of the official weather station. I can also pick up the city's heat island effect based on winds direction and a as it changes from parallel to the roads to the diagonal, the heat picked up is less.

This is the site of the second longest running permeant weather station in Australia:
web.abnormal.com
It was on land granted to the Royal Society and has been in use since the mid 1850s. The traffic on the roads in the picture has gone up drastically in the past decade.
 
2010-08-01 10:41:02 PM
Shakin_Haitian: You didn't even post data for Mars

Everyone (except you) understands that the solar output chart demonstrates what is affecting all the planets near our sun.

Shakin_Haitian: Second off, do you know what NOAA is adjusting for? http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/ushcn/ushcn.html You won't read it though.

Yeah, this proves God exists: Link You won't read it though.

You think you could narrow it down to which Chapter and Verse in that link justifies adjustment of only the last few years, when measurement is supposed to be more accurate, and only in the increased temperature direction?
 
2010-08-02 02:53:50 AM
Alleyoop: Everyone (except you) understands that the solar output chart demonstrates what is affecting all the planets near our sun.

Everyone except you understands that solar output has been in slight decline recently and doesn't account for the warming.

In the last 35 years of global warming, the sun has shown a slight cooling trend. Sun and climate have been going in opposite directions. (new window)


Alleyoop: Yeah, this proves God exists: Link You won't read it though.

God exists because the Bible says so and we know the Bible is true because it's the word of God. Amiright?

Alleyoop: You think you could narrow it down to which Chapter and Verse in that link justifies adjustment of only the last few years, when measurement is supposed to be more accurate, and only in the increased temperature direction?

Perhaps you shouldn't get your information from denalist blogs then you wouldn't be under the mistaken impression that your .gif graph is correct.
Numerous studies into the effect of urban heat island effect and microsite influences find they have negligible effect on long-term trends, particularly when averaged over large regions. (new window)


Continued from that link:
"Other lines of evidence for rising temperatures
The surface temperature trends are also confirmed from multiple, independent sources:

Surface temperature analysis by NASA GISS finds strong agreement with two independent analyses by CRU's Global Temperature Record and NCDC.
Weather balloon measurements have found from 1975 through 2005, the global mean, near-surface air temperature warmed by approximately 0.23°C/decade.
Satellite measurements of lower atmosphere temperatures show temperature rises between 0.16°C and 0.24°C/decade since 1982.
Ice core reconstructions found the 20th century to be the warmest of the past five centuries, confirming the results of earlier proxy reconstructions.
Sea surface temperatures, borehole reconstructions and ocean temperatures all show long-term warming trends."
 
2010-08-02 03:37:17 AM
Shouldn't we be running out of o2 pretty soon?
Thousnds and millions of tons of co2 production are gonna use up, let's see, "a lot"(insert peer reviewed number of your choice) of o2.

it would seem
 
2010-08-02 06:41:32 AM
Baryogenesis: Everyone except you understands that solar output has been in slight decline recently and doesn't account for the warming.

In the last 35 years of global warming, the sun has shown a slight cooling trend. Sun and climate have been going in opposite directions. (new window)


Hmmm, let's have a looksee... TSI from 1979 to 2009 from PMOD
"550 /pub/data/irradiance/composite/DataPlots/composite_d41_62_0906.dat: No such file or directory"

Baryogenesis: God exists because the Bible says so and

...yada yada yada you missed the point.

Baryogenesis: Perhaps you shouldn't get your information from denalist blogs then you wouldn't be under the mistaken impression that your .gif graph is correct.

You started out with a link (to data that goes nowhere) from Skeptical Science.

Try again.
 
2010-08-02 07:51:42 AM
Alleyoop: Baryogenesis: Everyone except you understands that solar output has been in slight decline recently and doesn't account for the warming.

In the last 35 years of global warming, the sun has shown a slight cooling trend. Sun and climate have been going in opposite directions. (new window)

Hmmm, let's have a looksee... TSI from 1979 to 2009 from PMOD
"550 /pub/data/irradiance/composite/DataPlots/composite_d41_62_0906.dat: No such file or directory"


LOL.

So, you found one broken link therefore the whole page and all of the other *working* citations are wrong? There's a slew of peer reviewed papers about the same topic listed underneath the broken link.


Are you trolling or just too closed minded to even bother?


Alleyoop: Baryogenesis: God exists because the Bible says so and

...yada yada yada you missed the point.



No, I got the point you were making, but the "fundamentalist AGW proponent" is such a tired bit of rhetoric. I'd rather have a bit of fun with it.
 
2010-08-02 09:15:38 AM
Alleyoop: Shakin_Haitian: You didn't even post data for Mars

Everyone (except you) understands that the solar output chart demonstrates what is affecting all the planets near our sun.

Shakin_Haitian: Second off, do you know what NOAA is adjusting for? http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/ushcn/ushcn.html You won't read it though.

Yeah, this proves God exists: Link You won't read it though.

You think you could narrow it down to which Chapter and Verse in that link justifies adjustment of only the last few years, when measurement is supposed to be more accurate, and only in the increased temperature direction?


Why didn't you post Mars global data? Are you purposefully being disengenuous?

It's called showing your work. The whole freaking link from NOAA is about why and how they adjusted the data. How does the Bible show its work?
 
2010-08-02 09:16:53 AM
DON.MAC: I run a weather station that is about 266 meters horizontal and 166 meters higher than one of the oldest stations in Australia. My station and its disagree worse than the official station and the airport but I can pick up the lack of traffic on school holidays because of the heat island effect on the nearby roads of the official weather station. I can also pick up the city's heat island effect based on winds direction and a as it changes from parallel to the roads to the diagonal, the heat picked up is less.

This is the site of the second longest running permeant weather station in Australia:

It was on land granted to the Royal Society and has been in use since the mid 1850s. The traffic on the roads in the picture has gone up drastically in the past decade.


Is every weather station in Australia placed like that?
 
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