If you can read this, either the style sheet didn't load or you have an older browser that doesn't support style sheets. Try clearing your browser cache and refreshing the page.

(Entertainment Weekly) Interesting The fifteen biggest film gambles of all time, including ones that paid off (Avatar) and ones that didn't (Waterworld)   (ew.com) divider line 131
More: Interesting, 15: The Movie, Titanic, Big Budget, James Cameron, asterisk, avatars, Waterworld, hearings  
•       •       •

12472 clicks; posted to Entertainment » on 02 Jan 2010 at 2:53 PM   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»   |    Get this fabulous T-Shirt and impress the methane out of your friends! shirt it!



131 Comments   (+0 »)
   

Archived thread

First | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | » | Last | Show all
 
2010-01-02 12:42:36 PM
Okay, okay, it's a slideshow; I'll do it this time so you don't all yell at me.

1) Avatar (jackpot)
2) Titanic (jackpot)
3) Waterworld (bust)
4) Brokeback Mountain (jackpot)
5) Lord of the Rings trilogy (jackpot)
6) Ishtar (bust)
7) The Matrix (jackpot)
8) Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl (jackpot)
9) Schindler's List (jackpot)
10) Star Wars (jackpot)
11) Wall-E (jackpot)
12) Heaven's Gate (bust)
13) Cleopatra (bust)
14) Watchmen (let it ride)
15) Where the Wild Things are (let it ride)

(Please note that "Jackpot," "bust," and "let it ride" are EW's terms)
 
2010-01-02 12:48:47 PM
Brokeback Mountain was a gamble? How much could it possibly have cost?
 
2010-01-02 12:50:34 PM
IrateShadow: Brokeback Mountain was a gamble? How much could it possibly have cost?

Supposedly, the gamble was how "Heath Ledger and Jake Gyllenhaal put their careers on the line to play lovers in the first mainstream movie to focus on a gay romance."
 
2010-01-02 12:50:47 PM
Apparently it was $14 million, and they made it back before the film even hit theaters. Huge gamble right there.
 
2010-01-02 12:52:17 PM
The English Major: Supposedly, the gamble was how "Heath Ledger and Jake Gyllenhaal put their careers on the line to play lovers in the first mainstream movie to focus on a gay romance."

Did anyone ever actually try to argue that? I remember everyone talking about it as an oscar contender weeks before anyone had even seen it.
 
2010-01-02 12:52:19 PM
The English Major: Supposedly, the gamble was how "Heath Ledger and Jake Gyllenhaal put their careers on the line to play lovers in the first mainstream movie to focus on a gay romance."

What about Top Gun?
 
2010-01-02 01:03:27 PM
IrateShadow: The English Major: Supposedly, the gamble was how "Heath Ledger and Jake Gyllenhaal put their careers on the line to play lovers in the first mainstream movie to focus on a gay romance."

Did anyone ever actually try to argue that? I remember everyone talking about it as an oscar contender weeks before anyone had even seen it.


If I remember right, it was billed as a gay romance; hell, the whole "I wish I could quit you" was in the promos.

JerseyTim: The English Major: Supposedly, the gamble was how "Heath Ledger and Jake Gyllenhaal put their careers on the line to play lovers in the first mainstream movie to focus on a gay romance."

What about Top Gun?


You're right.
 
2010-01-02 01:17:27 PM
Cleopatra (bust, but oh what a bust!)

- Elizabeth Taylor fan club.
 
2010-01-02 01:21:26 PM
I thought that Waterworld broke even in the end, taking into account the good reception in the international market.
 
2010-01-02 01:23:21 PM
IrateShadow: Brokeback Mountain was a gamble? How much could it possibly have cost?

I think it was a gamble for the actors re: reputation.
 
2010-01-02 01:55:07 PM
They call Waterworld a bust because the $175 million movie made $88 million domestically. The more than $175 million brought in outside the United States suggests it wasn't much of a bust after all.
 
2010-01-02 02:08:11 PM
SchlingFocker: I thought that Waterworld broke even in the end, taking into account the good reception in the international market.

kevinatilusa: They call Waterworld a bust because the $175 million movie made $88 million domestically. The more than $175 million brought in outside the United States suggests it wasn't much of a bust after all.

I quoted both of you since I'm basically replying to both.

The goal, in film-making for profit, isn't just to make money. It's to make money proportional to your risk and scope. So, if you make a $5 million comedy, getting $6-7 million back is pretty reasonable since you didn't risk much. If you make a $175 million movie, you expect a profit of corresponding size, i.e. tens or hundreds of millions of dollars.

The world-wide return from the site linked shows Waterworld at $264,218,220, which means the profit was about $265m-$175m, i.e. $90m. That's a profit less than 50%.

By contrast, Avatar has a worldwide gross of $760,003,825, and has been estimated to cost between $200-400m. If we take the high end of that, $400m, you're still talking about the film profiting at at least the same ratio as Waterworld did in the end, and that's after only a short time of release. Give it a few more years, and Avatar might break a billion dollars once you add in video and whatnot. If the actual cost is closer to $200, it gets even more absurdly high.

The Hangover made $277m with a budget of $35m. If Waterworld cost five times the price of The Hangover, but barely even compares with The Hangover's profits, I'd say that makes Waterworld a bust. Plus, that doesn't even factor in the production time, the impact on actors' careers, etc.
 
2010-01-02 02:08:38 PM
The English Major: 12) Heaven's Gate (bust)

I always confuse this title with Days of Heaven, which put every penny spent on the screen.
 
2010-01-02 02:23:20 PM
I'm kinda amazed they didn't put in "Hudson Hawk"

FWIW, I love the movie, but it cost a lot and was a flop at the BO
 
2010-01-02 02:25:21 PM
mattharvest: I'd say that makes Waterworld a bust.

So, it's all in your opinion.

Thanks!
 
2010-01-02 02:27:01 PM
If Hollywood filmmakers could consistently make a 50% turn on their investment with a turn around of only a couple of years, investors would flock to Hollywood no questions asked.

By that standard, and by comparison to many of the films performed much worse than Waterworld but didn't make it onto the list, Waterworld was far from a flop.
 
2010-01-02 02:27:02 PM
baka-san: I'm kinda amazed they didn't put in "Hudson Hawk"

FWIW, I love the movie, but it cost a lot and was a flop at the BO


Unlike Waterworld, Hudson Hawk was a fantastic movie.
 
2010-01-02 02:28:35 PM
If Waterworld had caused Costner to stop making movies, it would have been a huge success.
 
2010-01-02 02:31:04 PM
SchlingFocker: FWIW, I love the movie, but it cost a lot and was a flop at the BO

Unlike Waterworld, Hudson Hawk was a fantastic movie.


Yeah, it is, but a commercial flop.
 
2010-01-02 02:31:40 PM
baka-san: Yeah, it is, but a commercial flop.

Absolutely.
 
2010-01-02 02:32:29 PM
baka-san: SchlingFocker: FWIW, I love the movie, but it cost a lot and was a flop at the BO

Unlike Waterworld, Hudson Hawk was a fantastic movie.

Yeah, it is, but a commercial flop.


What about Dick Tracy? Didn't that flop too? I remember all the hype surrounding it, but it never really went anywhere, except to video.
 
2010-01-02 02:38:27 PM
The English Major: Yeah, it is, but a commercial flop.

What about Dick Tracy? Didn't that flop too? I remember all the hype surrounding it, but it never really went anywhere, except to video.


I think it made back most of it's money. Another one I happen to like. Beautiful movie.
 
2010-01-02 02:39:37 PM
mattharvest: The goal, in film-making for profit, isn't just to make money. It's to make money proportional to your risk and scope. So, if you make a $5 million comedy, getting $6-7 million back is pretty reasonable since you didn't risk much. If you make a $175 million movie, you expect a profit of corresponding size, i.e. tens or hundreds of millions of dollars.

I think this is the wrong attitude. What you say is true in the large-scale. The reasons studios spend a ton of money is to make a ton of money. Therefore, they would hope that their average film makes a 100% profit. That would be awesome for them. But that's an average. It means some films will make a 300% profit. It also means some films will eat it and lose money. To call something a "bust" because it comes in at below average expectations isn't fair, IMO. Anything which comes in between "break even" and "expected" should basically be considered 'fine'. Not awesome, not terrible. It's fine. Something which loses money is a bust. Something which makes more than you expected is a hit.
 
2010-01-02 03:00:42 PM
JerseyTim: The English Major: Supposedly, the gamble was how "Heath Ledger and Jake Gyllenhaal put their careers on the line to play lovers in the first mainstream movie to focus on a gay romance."

What about Top Gun?



queerbeacon.typepad.com

You want to know how I know you where one of the first mainstream movie to deal with gay romance?
 
2010-01-02 03:10:41 PM
The English Major: IrateShadow: Brokeback Mountain was a gamble? How much could it possibly have cost?

Supposedly, the gamble was how "Heath Ledger and Jake Gyllenhaal put their careers on the line to play lovers in the first mainstream movie to focus on a gay romance."


You mean you never saw that movie where Gabby Hayes was giving it to Roy Rogers?
 
2010-01-02 03:16:00 PM
What about...

www.boxofficemojo.com

Prior to Jaws Spielberg's biggest hit was the made for tv movie "Duel", Roy Schieder and Richard Dreyfuss were no Brad Pitt or Leonardo DiCaprio ... the original screen writer dropped out of the film after 3 rewrites, the $4 million dollar budget balooned to $9 million, and the sharks never worked properly.

The film made its red-line budget back nearly 30-fold in the domestic market alone.
 
2010-01-02 03:17:21 PM
For the record, I thought Ishtar was a pretty funny movie.
 
2010-01-02 03:18:34 PM
Yeahhhhh...$642 million revenue on a budget of $500 million is about 28.4% gross. By comparison, Iron Man grossed $582 million on a budget of $140 million, which is about 315% gross. True, it's too soon to compare box offices, but that's my point. IT'S TOO DAMN SOON! Jesus Christ, EW.
 
2010-01-02 03:20:40 PM
SnakeMan: Yeahhhhh...$642 million revenue on a budget of $500 million is about 28.4% gross. By comparison, Iron Man grossed $582 million on a budget of $140 million, which is about 315% gross. True, it's too soon to compare box offices, but that's my point. IT'S TOO DAMN SOON! Jesus Christ, EW.

Why does the margin matter? Would you rather make 100% on a 10 dollar investment or 10% on a 100 million dollar investment?
 
2010-01-02 03:20:59 PM
Or www.boxofficemojo.com for that matter...

Lucas' only real credit was America Graffiti, the special effects and sound were primarily in Lucas' hands, none of the actors minus maybe Harrison Ford were known at all and it was a space opera at a time when space operas were considered to be dead.

The budget was $11 million and grossed $306 mil domestically
 
2010-01-02 03:22:32 PM
Spaztictacular: The film made its red-line budget back nearly 30-fold in the domestic market alone.

Pre multiplex.
 
2010-01-02 03:23:26 PM
Spaztictacular: Or www.boxofficemojo.com for that matter...

10) Star Wars (jackpot)
 
2010-01-02 03:23:33 PM
mattharvest: The goal, in film-making for profit, isn't just to make money. It's to make money proportional to your risk and scope. So, if you make a $5 million comedy, getting $6-7 million back is pretty reasonable since you didn't risk much. If you make a $175 million movie, you expect a profit of corresponding size, i.e. tens or hundreds of millions of dollars.

An important cost category that is always missing in these discussions is promotion budget, which is typically equal to the costs of making the movie. So a movie that costs $100million to make needs to gross over $200million before it begins to return a profit.
 
2010-01-02 03:25:47 PM
I love Waterworld. EW can kiss my ass.
 
2010-01-02 03:30:10 PM
Spaztictacular: Or for that matter...

Lucas' only real credit was America Graffiti, the special effects and sound were primarily in Lucas' hands, none of the actors minus maybe Harrison Ford were known at all and it was a space opera at a time when space operas were considered to be dead.
to
The budget was $11 million and grossed $306 mil domestically


Sir Alec was a very well known actor.
 
2010-01-02 03:33:00 PM
Waterworld was amazing, fark y'all
 
2010-01-02 03:33:03 PM
Control_this: If Waterworld had caused Costner to stop making movies, it would have been a huge success.

I have to disagree since I loved Open Range. Of course, Robert Duvall is excellent.
 
2010-01-02 03:35:32 PM
Blues Brothers wandered way over budget.
The African Queen had some pretty dangerous filming.
Werner Herzog tackles projects that most other directors would not consider.
Harold Lloyd-Safety Last
Can you imagine what it was like to be a director in Russia during Stalin's reign?

Peruvian natives to Werner Herzog about Klaus Kinski: "Do you want us to kill him?"

/Spare me this Wall E crap.
 
2010-01-02 03:37:21 PM
The English Major: 7) The Matrix (jackpot)

I assume they just mean the first film because when I first heard that the two sequels were going to be made simultaneously (and Matrix fanboyism was at its peak), I knew the sequels would suck.
 
2010-01-02 03:37:52 PM
With all of the arguing about monetary returns, folks rarely take into account that a movie's ability to make money doesn't stop at the box office. Lots of movies these days make more on DVD than they do in theaters. Include merchandising and TV rights and it really adds up.

Even a crappy movie can be licensed to SpikeTV or TBS or some other network and bring in millions over the next few decades with late night showings.
 
2010-01-02 03:38:25 PM
garvin32: Control_this: If Waterworld had caused Costner to stop making movies, it would have been a huge success.

I have to disagree since I loved Open Range. Of course, Robert Duvall is excellent.


That and For Love Of The Game.
 
2010-01-02 03:44:42 PM
As much as a bust as waterworld was in theaters, that shiat is on tv all the damn time.
 
2010-01-02 03:45:06 PM
I was hoping for a list of top movie gamblers.

i189.photobucket.com
i869.photobucket.com
i43.photobucket.com
i183.photobucket.com
 
2010-01-02 03:46:35 PM
HempHead: Spaztictacular: Or for that matter...

Lucas' only real credit was America Graffiti, the special effects and sound were primarily in Lucas' hands, none of the actors minus maybe Harrison Ford were known at all and it was a space opera at a time when space operas were considered to be dead.
to
The budget was $11 million and grossed $306 mil domestically

Sir Alec was a very well known actor.


So was Peter Cushing.
 
2010-01-02 03:48:25 PM
I don't think it's necessarily fair to call a movie a bust, just because it didn't make a lot of money.

If you can break even, or at least come close, and make a really good movie, I'd say that helps a studio in the long run.

Watchmen, for example, between domestic and international box office and DVD and Blu-Ray sales, is probably right at the break-even point. Maybe a little bit ahead. But by most accounts, except for the most rabid fanboys or people who just don't like action movies, it's a great movie. More importantly, it's a great comic book adaptation, which hopefully serves as a model for what other directors can do with comic books in the future.

Warner Bros. has the entire DC universe to choose from and hopefully they use Watchmen and the Nolan Batman films as a guide when they finally get to Green Lantern, Flash, Wonder Woman, another Superman, etc.
 
2010-01-02 03:49:19 PM
baka-san: Spaztictacular: Or Star Wars for that matter...

10) Star Wars (jackpot)


Hmmm missed that one I guess. Apologies.
 
2010-01-02 03:53:15 PM
CowboyNinjaD: But by most accounts, except for the most rabid fanboys or people who just don't like action movies, it's a great movie. More importantly, it's a great comic book adaptation, which hopefully serves as a model for what other directors can do with comic books in the future.

I agree with both. Loved the comic, loved the move(the fact that I was in afterglow didn't hurt~_^), thought it was well done.
 
2010-01-02 03:54:31 PM
"Incidentally, this record is available in the foyer. Some of us got to live too, you know. Who do you think pays for all this rubbish? Never gonna make their money back. I told them. 'Bernie,' I said, 'They'll never make their money back.'..."
 
2010-01-02 03:55:18 PM
mattharvest:
By contrast, Avatar has a worldwide gross of $760,003,825, and has been estimated to cost between $200-400m. If we take the high end of that, $400m, you're still talking about the film profiting at at least the same ratio as Waterworld did in the end, and that's after only a short time of release. Give it a few more years, and Avatar might break a billion dollars once you add in video and whatnot. If the actual cost is closer to $200, it gets even more absurdly high.


A few years?! Try a few more weeks. That movie is making money at an alarming rate.

I just saw it (can't see 3D and the special effects stopped dazzling after about 45 mins, so i think it's a dull film) and the showing I went to was sold out as was the 3D showing right after it.
 
2010-01-02 03:56:34 PM
brap: Cleopatra (bust, but oh what a bust!)

- Elizabeth Taylor fan club.


I just watched that recently, and would half to agree with you. Too bad she didn't get more risque in "Life with Father."

//did I go too far?
 
Displayed 50 of 131 comments

First | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | » | Last | Show all


This thread is closed to new comments.

Continue Farking
Submit a Link »