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(National Review)   Has global warming stopped?   (corner.nationalreview.com) divider line 404
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5986 clicks; posted to Politics » on 25 Jul 2009 at 12:07 PM   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2009-07-25 09:51:29 AM
It never started
 
2009-07-25 10:00:24 AM
no. next question.
 
2009-07-25 10:16:26 AM
yes. next question.
 
2009-07-25 10:18:02 AM
The War of 1812. next question.
 
2009-07-25 10:19:48 AM
yawn. next question
 
2009-07-25 10:22:47 AM
Short term trends do not disprove long term trends.
 
2009-07-25 10:23:25 AM
It stops every winter, then starts again in the spring. next question.
 
2009-07-25 10:26:55 AM
strangely enough, the article asked a number of honest scientific questions.
which will be ignored

the people who "believe" in AGW do not allow anyone to question their faith
the people who are against AGW are heretics

the scientists wish both groups would go away and let them collect data to test theories

me?
I "know" that al gore and his followers will long be gone when we finally KNOW the answer.
History will have the final word on whether they were fear-mongerers or prescient.
 
2009-07-25 10:28:48 AM
GAT_00: Short term trends do not disprove long term trends.

Every long term trend starts out as a short term trend.
 
2009-07-25 10:30:08 AM
Medium term trends get along well with other medium term trends, go bowling, maybe they catch a show or a ballgame at some point, I dunno...
 
2009-07-25 10:33:57 AM
GAT_00: Short term trends do not disprove long term trends.

page 7 please (new window)

please point out which long term trend which you are talking about?
the point of the article was that trends of varying lengths give different answers.
the most important question is: how long a trend is enough to disprove the current model? (this is about the science)
1 day is too short, 1000 years would be CLEAR
what is the number in the middle which you would accept?

yes, 10 years is probably too short, but 20 years? 50?
of course 50 years, would mean that you would never have to say you were "wrong" or get to gloat if you were right ...

:D
 
2009-07-25 10:41:33 AM
TheOther: Every long term trend starts out as a short term trend.

And I'm sure there being more CO2 in our atmosphere than has been seen for millions of years and the last time we were even close to current levels the temperatures were I think 10C above current temps has nothing to do with any trends.

namatad: strangely enough, the article asked a number of honest scientific questions.
which will be ignored


No, not really. There was a whole lot of "I want people to do things for me and I don't like what I read" in there.

I "know" that al gore and his followers will long be gone when we finally KNOW the answer.

We'll "know" within 20 years when it's another half a degree warmer and we'll really "know" in 50 years when it's two degrees warmer.
 
2009-07-25 10:44:24 AM
namatad: page 7 please (new window)

No, I'm not reading any further when the title is "The Myth of Dangerous Human-Caused Climate Change" and starts off with misquotes from Dr. William Grey. Want to disprove me and science in general? Find something that isn't showing massive bias.
 
2009-07-25 10:44:31 AM
So....

If someone asked this same question in 1970, based solely on the first chart shown, they would possibly conclude that yes, it has stopped. Again, based solely on that chart, they would have been wrong.
 
2009-07-25 10:46:56 AM
GAT_00: misquotes

That should be out of context quotes, not misquotes.
 
2009-07-25 10:48:47 AM
GAT_00: Want to disprove me and science in general? Find something that isn't showing massive bias.

LOL, there is now need for you to read, there is a graph with 7 trend lines of differing periods
it asks a real question

why do global warming people, only use the period of data which fits their "hypothesis" and ignore periods of data which reject their "cause"

GAT_00: We'll "know" within 20 years when it's another half a degree warmer and we'll really "know" in 50 years when it's two degrees warmer.

yes, this is good
in 10 more years, we will have 20 years of data
and will be able to look at the predictions of 1999 and say, great job, meh, or what where they thinking
in 40 more years we will "know" for sure
 
2009-07-25 10:54:23 AM
namatad: we will "know" for sure

We'll more than know, we'll be farked and the planet on it's way to uninhabitable for humans.

why do global warming people, only use the period of data which fits their "hypothesis" and ignore periods of data which reject their "cause"

No, I'm ignoring "evidence" from a biased source. He made his "evidence" not worth reading by starting with a title that made me ignore him within 10 words.
 
2009-07-25 11:00:18 AM
Sigh. It's interesting how opinions on global warming are very often in lockstep with what the preferred party tells them to recite. The GOP has successfully managed to get fundies and the white, working poor reciting that global warming is a lie, whether or not they have any knowledge of the issue. Conversely, dems have irritating coffee house hipsters making the same claims with a similar lack of knowledge. What I think is irrelevant - the fact is that a scientific issue has morphed into a purely political one.

/"health care" is a similar phrase that sparks knee-jerk and almost universally uninformed partisan whaargarble
 
2009-07-25 11:06:49 AM
GAT_00: We'll more than know, we'll be farked and the planet on it's way to uninhabitable for humans.

false
uninhabitable at the current levels of population?
maybe/probably
wiping out the species in the next 100-5000yrs because of global warming?
not a chance in hell
people live in farking DESERTS and above the arctic circle

so we might kill ourselves off another way (war and plague) but not cause it got too hot and a lot of people died

GAT_00: No, I'm ignoring "evidence" from a biased source. He made his "evidence" not worth reading by starting with a title that made me ignore him within 10 words.

hmmmm
I hate both sides and the absolute positions that they take.
I have forced myself to read/listen to both sides.
Tried to get as close to the data as I can.
This has caused me to change my opinion a number of times, as I have collected more data/information.

I have gone from "the iceage is coming" (old enough to remember the iceage "scare" of the 70s-80s.
to panic we are melting,
to questioning everything I have read and reading as much as I can to see who is "biased" and who is just plain crazy

a world renowned environmentalist (new window)

solomon's books and articles are incredibly interesting
in his book, the deniers, he clearly states his discomfort in having to reevaulate his position on global warming.
that the more research that he did, the more he questioned his beliefs.
this is the whole point of science.
that sometimes we are WRONG.
that sometimes we dont KNOW.

Link (new window)

what makes solomon's articles so compelling is that he exposes some dirty truths on both sides of the debate.
which is always for the betterment of understanding.
 
2009-07-25 11:10:55 AM
Stay Cool Babylon: Sigh. It's interesting how opinions on global warming are very often in lockstep with what the preferred party tells them to recite. The GOP has successfully managed to get fundies and the white, working poor reciting that global warming is a lie, whether or not they have any knowledge of the issue. Conversely, dems have irritating coffee house hipsters making the same claims with a similar lack of knowledge. What I think is irrelevant - the fact is that a scientific issue has morphed into a purely political one.

/"health care" is a similar phrase that sparks knee-jerk and almost universally uninformed partisan whaargarble


sigh
thinking for yourself requires effort, requires time to read, requires a willingness to actually change ones opinion

and that is the problem with "belief", it has nothing to do with facts

the flipflop thing that the GOP did to kerry was a perfect example of how to destroy a candidate because he might actually change his mind.

when did changing your mind become a bad thing?
RINO??

/sigh
 
2009-07-25 11:12:52 AM
GAT_00: And I'm sure there being more CO2 in our atmosphere than has been seen for millions of years and the last time we were even close to current levels the temperatures were I think 10C above current temps has nothing to do with any trends.

They obviously don't.... According to you, the temperature should be at least 10 degrees higher.... and it isn't. Just maybe co2 levels don't drive temperature. Just maybe the cooling tend has started. Just maybe you're not Mr Knowitall.
 
2009-07-25 11:40:19 AM
Hey, how about looking at it like this: Would you read anything that had a title that was something like "Global Warming is an absolute, proven truth and anyone who doesn't believe it is a farking dumbass?" Even if it proved beyond a doubt that it is happening? Of course not. So why do you expect me to read an article that is the opposite of that?

namatad: a world renowned environmentalist (new window)

He's an author, not an scientist. How about you start finding scientists that prove you right? And try finding more than say 10-12, because I can come back with 1,000.

Oh, and nice citing everything else. You've proved absolutely nothing and are demanding you take everything I say to be true. I'm asking you to actually go find something to read that isn't absolutely biased, take off your little indoctrination, and read it. Your proof already exists. You just refuse to read it.
 
2009-07-25 11:51:31 AM
GAT_00: He's an author, not an scientist.

LOL
never said he was a scientist
but he interviewed a number of scientists
and the interviews are quite interesting

1000 vs 12?
um, you know that voting in science is immoral?
the history of science is filled with the remains of theorys which were proven wrong.
hell, some scientists are remember almost exclusively for what they were wrong about

Link (new window)
these 2 kept grinding away to prove their theory,
which all their data disproved

the point of solomon, is that he has done a job finding world renown scientists, people COLLECTING the data, who have questions about the "established" wisdom
solomon made is "easy" to find this research and collected it in once place
there are citations which can be followed to get to the bottom

as to my indoctrination?
my degree is in physics and chemistry, I have years of experimental science under my belt
I understand how science works.
I hate how it has been politicied.

look at the witch burning that followed after cold-fusion.
when the APA voted on whether cold-fusion was real, I hung my head in shame.

/billions of people believe in god and souls. that does not make it true
/cant wait for the future to get here, so that we will know the answer
 
2009-07-25 11:59:34 AM
Non-scientists are non-scientific.
 
2009-07-25 12:12:51 PM
Sweet, time to yank the hybrid drive out of the old Prius and put in a V8.
 
2009-07-25 12:13:20 PM
Why would you post something from the NRO, a purely political publication, and think it has any bearing on the reality of science? If you want to disprove global climate change post thousands of peer reviewed journal papers because that's what global climate change has in its favor.
 
2009-07-25 12:16:05 PM
namatad: strangely enough, the article asked a number of honest scientific questions.

good

namatad: which will be ignored

If they are valid questions, scientists would be (and probably are already) asking them of eachother.

namatad: the people who "believe" in AGW do not allow anyone to question their faith
the people who are against AGW are heretics


We can clearly see your bias in your phrasing here. Is it possible for me to believe that I personally don't have all the answers but choose to place my trust in whatever the current scientific consensus is instead of trying to go against the current?

Why is it that if I believe the majority of experts on a subject instead of a minority I have to be lumped in with those people (if they even exist) who feel so strongly about global warming as to have faith akin to a fundamentalist's belief in god?

namatad: the scientists wish both groups would go away and let them collect data to test theories

If those were the only 2 groups, you would be right. I should think that if the majority of scientists believed CO2 was causing global warming that they would be interested in not just learning about global warming, but also having the non-scientist portion of the world choose to make changes to prevent it. I know if I were a scientist I wouldn't be content to discover the world would end because of a man-made disaster, I'd actually, and I know this is a shocker, try to prevent it.

namatad: me?
I "know" that al gore and his followers will long be gone when we finally KNOW the answer.
History will have the final word on whether they were fear-mongerers or prescient.


You know that do you? You 'KNOW' it? So people who accept scientific consensus believe in it like a religion, but you predict the future with a certainty. You also seem to be the only person, despite not being a scientist, who is able to define when we as a society know something for sure and when we don't. That's a pretty nifty skill.
 
2009-07-25 12:16:07 PM
Abagadro: Non-scientists are non-scientific.

Got a link to a peer-reviewed study to back that up? Thought so.
 
2009-07-25 12:16:09 PM
True science welcomes dissent. Fake, politically-driven science is hostile to it.
 
2009-07-25 12:16:36 PM
They really don't know for sure, since the science for tracking and the statistical data are both flawed and developing. So whether global warming exists in reality is a political football being tossed artound by groups that either benefit from it's existance or lack thereof. When in doubt, follow the money.
Next question.
 
2009-07-25 12:17:59 PM
namatad: as to my indoctrination?
my degree is in physics and chemistry, I have years of experimental science under my belt
I understand how science works.
I hate how it has been politicied.


Are you getting a kick, etc.?
 
2009-07-25 12:18:23 PM
And the right-wing war on science continues...

Look, just because the temperature has leveled off for the moment, doesn't invalidate the long-term trend (and calling that line of thinking "idiotic" says more about you than the people you're criticizing). Hell, look at the graph they present, and you'll see that between 1940-1950, the temperature went DOWN! Didn't stop it from going right back up afterwards.

If you are simplistic enough to expect global warming, or any climate change, to be a straight line progression, you have no business talking about climate.
 
2009-07-25 12:18:33 PM
namatad: as to my indoctrination?
my degree is in physics and chemistry, I have years of experimental science under my belt
I understand how science works.


I rather doubt it.
 
2009-07-25 12:19:40 PM
SkinnyHead: True science welcomes disproves dissent, as they already have done for people who deny global warming. Those people normally can't be bothered to actually look at the scientific consensus, though, preferring to cherry pick the one scientist out of ten thousand, usually not a climatologist, who disbelieves in global warming. Half the time, he really doesn't, and the anti-AGW-crowd just misreads his paper.

FTFY.
 
2009-07-25 12:19:43 PM
C.
 
2009-07-25 12:19:50 PM
Most of the talking points are addressed here. With actual, you know, science. (new window)

If you're still confused, the climate guides at NOAA.gov, NASA.gov, royalsociety.org, and the summation at IPCC.ch are very good also.

If you need a more laymans explanation for phenomena try realclimate.org, run by published climatologists with links to the actual scientific studies under explanation.
 
2009-07-25 12:20:39 PM
Can't we just have another Palin thread?

Global Warming/Cooling/Climate change is soooooooo 2006.
 
2009-07-25 12:22:17 PM
Thats weird, I am 29 and I have not seen global warming. I thought we were past the "Man made global warming" scam.
 
2009-07-25 12:22:44 PM
Smackledorfer: namatad: as to my indoctrination?
my degree is in physics and chemistry, I have years of experimental science under my belt
I understand how science works.


I rather doubt it.


Yeah, apparently not understanding basic absorption and re-emission spectra of greenhouse gases, how the concentration increase of such can be traced directly to the efforts of humans, and the known variables mitigating climate change at the moment would indicate that to be a disengenuous statement and maybe outright lie.
 
2009-07-25 12:22:45 PM
Trollmitter:

www.woottonwebdevclass.com
 
2009-07-25 12:23:30 PM
GAT_00: namatad: page 7 please (new window)

No, I'm not reading any further when the title is "The Myth of Dangerous Human-Caused Climate Change" and starts off with misquotes from Dr. William Grey. Want to disprove me and science in general? Find something that isn't showing massive bias.




i278.photobucket.com
 
2009-07-25 12:24:44 PM
Arjibuh: Ignorance redacted.

Why don't you try following the link I provided or going to the pages I suggested? All the result of actual scientific inquery, not someone with an agenda pushing something. (AKA, what namatad linked).
 
2009-07-25 12:25:17 PM
TFH: Has global warming stopped?

Can you get away with making baseless claims by posing them as a question?
 
2009-07-25 12:26:52 PM
GaryPDX: Boy, that would put a lot of people out of business.

And kill some silly and dangerous legislation.
 
2009-07-25 12:27:13 PM
GaryPDX: Boy, that would put a lot of people out of business.

Yeah, because environmentalists have had a long history of colluding with industries.
 
2009-07-25 12:27:24 PM
I've been thinking about this the last few days and believe I've come up with a credible, scientific theory about global warming.

Global temperatures have been increasing rapidly over the last eight years after a slight cooling trend this summer. Prior, in the 1990's there was an initial slight cooling trend followed by a sharp spike in the 1995-1998 period, then a sharp cooling.

When contrasted to America's political barometer, a surprising correlation becomes clear: the amount of Republican tears being shed inversely and strongly correlates to global mean temperatures. The more conservatives cry and WHARGARRBL, the more the planet cools; when they withhold this precious commodity, global mean temperates rise sharply and promptly.

In keeping with current thought and discourse about global warming, this can only mean one thing as correlation always and obviously means causation: Republican tears are the solution to global warming. As long as we keep them from attaining office and keep them in their current, hysteric state, we never have to worry about global temperatures rising. Desertification will stop and begin to recede. The polar ice caps will stabilize, and global sea levels will decrease. The Earth will return to its stable-temperature, moderate paradise.
 
2009-07-25 12:28:12 PM
SVenus

Sheesh, that idiotic graph again? You got smacked around the last time you posted it for the inaccuracies contained therein. Furthermore, the scientific community has been calling it climate change since the '70s. Finally, it was our last president that had the whitehouse stop using global warming, because it sounded too scary.

At least come up with talking points that have not been shown to be dramatically wrong.
 
2009-07-25 12:29:06 PM
Firstly, in their graph ten years is an insufficient sample size.

Secondly, they started charting just before 1998, an el nino year (which is unusually warm) to make it look like there wasn't an upward trend in temperature.

Thirdly, they say it's hard to dispute their graph. It's actually shockingly easy, and anyone who does ten minutes of Googling can see how dishonest their article is.
 
2009-07-25 12:31:29 PM
Get with it dude, it's now Climate Change so that any way it goes it s still proves it.
 
2009-07-25 12:31:40 PM
Asking 'why is the sky is blue' is also a legitimate scientific question. And ignorance of the reasons why does not mean there is a significant amount of controversy in scientific circles as to the explanation.

Just because a particular person is not aware of the body of work done on a particular point does not mean that the issue has not been addressed by that particular field. Ignorance, no matter how honest or well-meaning, does not mean controversy.

Now where TFA has a very, very good point is regarding transparency and access. The science of ACC is informing a debate that transcends a research world that tends to be unused to direct contact with the general public. That gap needs to be narrowed, and it should have been done long, long ago.
 
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